Stock Exchanges: increasingly fewer participants,
more and more uncertainties and paralysed central banks… the return to the
lowest levels of 2009 is taking shape.
As we have highlighted in recent GEAB issues
volumes and the number of participants are in freefall on major Western stock
exchanges. At the same time, the world recession (as anticipated by our team
already several months ago, this spring economies everywhere are slowing down
or falling back into recession) calling into question the stock exchange bet of
a recovery in 2012, particularly in the United States; whilst the risks of
inflation associated with the Western banks and many European countries
solvency problems steadily weaken confidence each day of a lasting rise in
financial markets. This situation is reinforced by the increasingly perceptible
impotence of the major central banks. LEAP/E2020 -
Excerpt GEAB N°65 (May 2012)
Pending home sales index declines in April.
An index of pending home sales fell in April for
the first time in four months, the National Association of Realtors said
Wednesday. The index dropped 5.5% to 95.5 from a downwardly revised 101.1 in March. March's
pending home sales index was initially reported to be 101.4. Yet pending sales
are still 14.4% higher compared to one year earlier, NAR noted... Market
Watch
The importance of the housing market in our economy
necessitates that medium term developments be predicted to adjust strategies
and investments, or to mitigate the consequences of its sharp changes. However,
many articles drawing completely conflicting conclusions obscure our view. This
book sheds light on the question in anticipating, on a solid foundation the
changes in residential property prices during the next decade. To this end, the
phenomena involved are explained and the underlying trends and resulting
findings analyzed, especially from economic, social and demographic factors. Anticipolis
Publishings
China-Japan currency deal ushers in a new era
Direct trading of yuan and yen will boost ties
between China and Japan. China and Japan will start direct trading of their
currencies on Friday in a move to boost trade ties between Asia's two biggest
economies. This will be the first time that China has allowed a major currency,
apart from the US dollar, to trade directly with the yuan... China
Daily
France moves to cap executive pay at state firms
France's new government will flesh out plans to cap
the pay of top executives at state-controlled companies by mid-June, laying
down a marker in a Europe-wide debate fuelled by waves of austerity and rising
unemployment. Elected this month promising to curb the privileges enjoyed by
France's wealthy and powerful, Socialist President Francois Hollande pledged
during campaigning to limit senior executives' salaries to a maximum of 20
times that of their lowest-paid employee. Reuters
RBS shareholders will never recover money they lost
Sir Philip Hampton said investors who owned RBS
shares before its £45.5bn bailout in October 2008 were likely to be dead before
the bank's value recovered to anything close to its pre-crisis level. "I
don't think shareholders wealth is likely to be restored any time in my
lifetime or some lifetimes beyond," said Sir Philip, who was brought in as
the bank's chairman in January 2009. The
Telegraph
Changing Lanes
The economy is indeed slowing down, but there is no
reason to panic as long as the government steers the country toward reforms. Is
China's economy moving out of the fast lane? Growth indicators have mostly
fallen below market expectations, and organizations have been quick to lower
their growth forecasts. Caixin
Immobilier : la tendance à la baisse des prix se
confirme
Les prix des logements anciens en France ont
augmenté légèrement (+1,3%) sur un an au premier trimestre, tirés par la hausse
continue en Ile-de-France (+5,4%) alors qu'une décrue s'amorce en province
(-0,5%), selon l'indice Notaires-Insee publié jeudi 31 mai. Toutefois, une
baisse moyenne de 0,7% est enregistrée par rapport au quatrième trimestre 2011,
avec un repli plus fort pour les maisons (-1,0%) que pour les appartements
(-0,3%), selon ce même indice. Challenges
United Nations experts express concern over recent
events in Quebec
Two United Nations independent experts on the
freedoms of peaceful assembly and association, and of opinion and expression
today voiced concern over demonstrations in Quebec on 24 May, reportedly
involving serious acts of violence and detention of up to 700 protesters... UNOG
(Re)mettre les langues au cœur des systèmes
éducatifs !
Remettre la langue au cœur du système éducatif
pourrait passer, si l’on se réfère à l’esprit du temps, pour un retour au
passé. Il est vrai que l’apprentissage de la langue maternelle (ou de scolarisation)
a été l’alpha et l’oméga de l’enseignement primaire depuis son origine.
L’est-il encore ? C’est une question. Mais mettre "les" langues, au
pluriel, au cœur des systèmes éducatifs, c’est une révolution. APLV / OEP
Japan posts anemic factory output growth in April
Japan on Thursday posted anemic factory output
growth of 0.2% in April, slower than expected and raising concerns about a
recovery for the world’s third-largest economy. The economy, trade and industry
ministry put a positive gloss on its latest figures, saying output “continues
to show an upward movement”, while the government and Bank of Japan have both
maintained in recent months that growth is on a positive track. Japan
Today
Auto Jobs: Sign of the Times
It should not come as a surprise with unemployment
over 8% that good paying jobs in manufacturing are harder than ever to land. At
the Hyundai plant in Montgomery, Alabama more than 20,000 people have applied
for one of the 877 job openings. The surge of people applying may seem unusual,
but it's not. Take a look... CNBC
India - Q4 GDP: Derailed economy has economists
worried about FY13
India’s economic growth grew at its weakest pace,
slipping to 5.3% for the fourth quarter of FY12. This is the lowest in nearly
nine years due to poor performance of the manufacturing and farm sectors.
Samiran Chakrabarty, head-research, Standard Chartered Bank sees bond yields
likely heading lower from current levels. The 10-year bond yields fell 3 basis
points to 8.49% as concerns over global risk aversion lured investors towards
safe-haven government debt. Money
Control
Russia - Central Bank Ramps Up Defense of Battered
Ruble
Russia’s Central Bank quintupled its intervention
on the domestic foreign exchange market to 530 million rubles ($16 million) on
Tuesday to prop up the ruble, battered in the past few days over negative
external developments, the regulator’s data suggested on Wednesday... RIA Novosti
Warning: America’s new Age of Austerity starts now
Warning, tighten your belts, America’s new Age of
Austerity is already here, today. There I said it. I admit it. And you better
too. Prepare now. Could be like the 1930s depression austerity. You’ve seen the
warnings all across the major newspapers about a global slowdown. But why no
warnings of austerity dead ahead? Why? America’s still deep in denial. We
prefer happy talk to the truth. No, nobody will get honest about austerity till
after the elections. Then it’ll hit hard. Market
Watch
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