viernes, 31 de julio de 2015

La crisis del agua: busquemos soluciones, no culpables

Publicado: Martes, 21 julio, 2015

Hace 15 años, el Ayuntamiento de Xàbia tomó una decisión valiente: construir una planta de desalación de agua marina. Fue una apuesta osada esa de crear una dotación pública tan innovadora y ambiciosa a iniciativa puramente local, sin tener la ayuda de otras administraciones y comprometiendo una inversión de nada menos que 24 millones de euros.
En aquellos tiempos penosos, en los que de los grifos solo salía agua salada y los grandes depósitos con agua potable eran parte de nuestro mobiliario cada verano, Xàbia arriesgó y, pese a no ser la más fácil ni popular, optó por una solución a largo plazo.
Han pasado años desde que encendimos esta fábrica de agua. Algunos de ellos, hemos tenido lluvias tan abundantes que la desaladora ha podido incluso desenchufarse. Pero durante todo este tiempo, los vecinos de Xàbia no han dejado de pagar vía tarifa el precio de tener esta industria, una promesa de tranquilidad y la garantía de un suministro de calidad y seguro en las épocas de escasez.
No creo que nadie se extrañe que ahora, si hay que elegir entre cortar la venta de agua a poblaciones vecinas o dejar sin ella a los propios xabieros la decisión, aunque dolorosa, esté más que clara.
Somos los primeros en comprender que cuando a un pueblo le falta el agua potable los nervios están a flor de piel. No obstante, no podemos permitir que se nos tache de insolidarios para justificarse por no haber reaccionado a tiempo. Máxime, cuando en los últimos años desde Xàbia, a pesar de estar mejor preparados para afrontar una situación de sequía, hemos brindado nuestra planta como la base sobre la que construir una solución estructural a un problema que, advertíamos, nos iba a afectar a todos.
Hemos convocado a reuniones y jornadas técnicas a los responsables de los municipios vecinos y les hemos propuesto acuerdos serios (por ejemplo, un compromiso de compra de un mínimo durante cinco años), como aval que nos diera la suficiente seguridad para plantearnos ampliar la planta y su capacidad de producción, lo que como es lógico supone una mayor inversión y más costes de mantenimiento.
Lo que nos hemos encontrado durante este tiempo es un regateo de céntimos, dejando pasar los meses, y emplazándonos a reuniones del que no obteníamos mayor compromiso que el cómodo “ya te compraré si me hace falta y me haces buen precio”.
Somos un pueblo solidario y que cree en la unión de la comarca. Pero no pueden pretender que, sin ser capaces de comprometerse a acuerdos serios, en Xàbia nos planteemos más inversiones con cargo a nuestro bolsillo para que la planta desalinizadora produzca un excedente por si, puntualmente, lo necesitan.
No obstante, nos ponemos en la piel de los que hoy sufren restricciones, y estamos trabajando para reducir los consumos de nuestros abonados y tan pronto estemos en disposición de hacerlo, si quieren volveremos a abastecerles.
Lo fácil es buscar culpables pero lo útil, buscar soluciones.
------------------------ Opinión. JOSÉ CHULVI. Alcalde de Xàbia

jueves, 30 de julio de 2015

2015/07/30 LEAP/E2020 Press Review on the Global Systemic Crisis. Libertad, Igualdad, Pluralidad.

« New Silk Road »: A Chinese-style New Deal
Historians will remember that the Chinese President Xi Jinping officially launched the new “Silk Road” with a 30 minute speech at the Boao Economic Conference on Hainan Island the 28 March 2015, in front of 16 heads of State or government and 100 or so ministers from the 65 countries which are on the path, land or sea, of this new trade route[1]. For us, involved in political anticipation, what a challenge we have been given! China is suggesting that we imagine the future by stepping back several centuries, even two millennia. Such a move isn’t absurd, as a fact ! The strength of nations such as Russia, Iran, India or China comes from their ability to think far into the future. Europe also has an historical depth...

Big data conglomerate dreams big on Silk Road
Discussions between Greece and its creditors are set to step up a gear when the International Monetary Fund’s lead representative arrives in Athens for talks...

IMF negotiator prepares to join Greek talks as deadline looms
Discussions between Greece and its creditors are set to step up a gear when the International Monetary Fund’s lead representative arrives in Athens for talks...

U.S. says 'deeply concerned' about Israeli building in West Bank, East Jerusalem
The U.S. State Department said on Wednesday it was "deeply concerned" about an Israeli government decision to build 300 new homes in a Jewish settlement in the occupied West Bank and hundreds of homes in East Jerusalem...

Schaeuble said to want to split EU commission powers
German finance minister Wolfgang Schaeuble would like the competition and single market departments removed from the European Commission, according to a report in Germany's leading centre-right daily...

Renault chute en Bourse malgré ses meilleurs résultats depuis 10 ans
Le constructeur automobile Renault a annoncé avoir quasiment doublé son bénéfice net au 1er semestre, à 1,4 milliard d’euros, et avoir réalisé sa meilleure rentabilité en dix ans. Après une hausse de près de 50% depuis le début de l’année, le titre subit des prises de bénéfices. Le second semestre devrait aussi être plus difficile.

Facebook profit falls nine percent as costs soar
Facebook Inc (FB.O) reported quarterly revenue that beat forecasts but its profit fell 9 percent as the social media company sharply increased spending to boost mobile revenue and future growth...

The Political anticipation shakes up the order in a TED talk in Madrid
Marie-Hélène Caillol, FEFAP’s vice-president was shaking up the order in Madrid two weeks ago at the TEDxIEMadrid event:” Let's Shake Up the Order... so that we can understand what is, but more importantly what could be." She gave a great speech on the topic: "Political Anticipation… to make sure the future is boring!". Watch the video and remember: CATCH THE FUTURE!

L’Europe reste soutenue par les résultats
Les marchés européens restent soutenus par des publications d’entreprises favorables, par la progression de Wall Street après les commentaires rassurants de la Fed et par la poursuite du rebond du pétrole. A suivre cet après-midi, l’inflation en Allemagne et le PIB des Etats-Unis...

Russian navy to focus on energy-rich Arctic, Atlantic oceans
The energy-rich Arctic and the Atlantic oceans are center points of a revised Russian naval doctrine. Its publication by the Kremlin follows the standoff with the West and NATO over Ukraine...

The Calais migrant problem is a global crisis with no solution
The migrants had good reason to leave their homes - but the British Government has good reason not to let them all in. Everyone is right. Everyone is wrong. Everything has been tried. Nothing works for long. Calais is a never-ending tragedy. After 20 years of “treaties” and “solutions”, the cross-Channel migrant crisis is worse than ever...

Barclays to speed up cost-cuts and asset sales
Barclays' (BARC.L) new chairman sought to stamp his mark on the bank on Wednesday by accelerating the sale of assets and cost cutting after the group produced a 12 percent increase in second-quarter profits...

French farmers block access from Germany and Spain over falling food prices
Over a thousand French farmers have blocked roads from Spain and Germany to stop foreign produce entering the country. The protest follows a week of action against a fall in food prices, pushing them towards bankruptcy...

Shell and Centrica cut 12,000 jobs
More than 12,000 jobs are being axed by two of Britain’s leading energy companies on the back of lower oil prices and major internal restructuring...
 --------------------------------
This special Press Review reviews articles from the French and Engligh-speaking international online media relating to the unfolding global crisis.
It is delivered freely on a weekly basis to 60,000 recipients worldwide.

Subscription / Contact: centre@europe2020.org

2015/07/24 LEAP/E2020 Press Review on the Global Systemic Crisis. Libertad, Igualdad, Pluralidad.


The Great Systemic Transformation of the West
As the GEAB has said for a long time, the global system which is collapsing in front of our noses was 500 years old. It was born out of the Renaissance’s major discoveries which gave Europe a 500 year advantage, then to the Russian and American reincarnation, to the detriment of the existing major civilizations such as China and Iran. This Western-centric world no longer exists today and it’s the West itself that triggered this transition: by inventing colonization then decolonization, then postcolonial guilt, then cooperation, then the regional integration process, then globalization, then the Internet,… somehow the West has created/wished for this multi-polarization which, therefore, has no reason to be so scary for some. It’s time to face the consequences of our policies and our speeches and agreed to share the planet. And that is what is happening. With Obama currently providing the best proof that, after appearing instrumental in escalating Euro-Russian tensions last year, he has turned into a real peacemaker in the Middle East this year with this 180° strategic shift as regards Iran...
LEAP (Excerpt GEAB 95)
 
The Good, The Bad and the Ugly About the Iran Deal
The deal with Iran has been generally characterized as either good or bad, and many pronounced it as historic with far-reaching regional and even global implications. I completely disagree with the characterizations of the deal as entirely good or bad, and certainly it is not historic as of yet...
The Huffington Post
 
MPs warn government fairness of EU referendum in jeopardy
The British government has cast a shadow over the fairness of a planned referendum on Britain's membership of the European Union by trying to relax rules designed to ensure pre-vote official impartiality, a committee of MPs said...
Reuters
 
'Netanyahu cheered up by US missile offer': how the Onion scooped Haaretz
‘US Soothes Upset Netanyahu With Shipment of Ballistic Missiles’ sounds like a headline from the Onion. And it is – except that this time it’s true. International media organisations have regularly been caught out by the satirical news site, fooled into thinking that Kim Jong-un really was voted the world’s sexiest man, or that Americans would prefer a beer with Mahmoud Ahmadinejad than Barack Obama...
The Guardian
 
Israel threatens EU-funded NGOs
Israel’s deputy foreign minister has told EU countries to stop funding left-wing NGOs which, she says, “blacken” Israel’s name. Tzipi Hotovely issued the warning in a series of meetings with senior EU diplomats in Israel in recent days, according to Israeli media...
EUObserver
 
Navy starts exercise in S. China Sea
The Chinese navy announced 10 days of military training in the waters near eastern Hainan Island in the South China Sea starting on Wednesday, amid heightened tensions in the region. During the training, "no vessel is allowed to enter the designated maritime areas", according to China's Maritime Safety Administration, which released the drill plan on Monday...
China Daily
 
Greek PM Tsipras rallies Syriza backing before bailout vote
Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras tried to rally his Syriza party on Tuesday before a vote in parliament on the second package of measures demanded by international creditors to open talks on a new bailout deal...
Reuters
 
Toshiba boss quits over £780m accounting scandal
Toshiba’s boss has quit the Japanese conglomerate over a 152bn yen (£780m) accounting scandal that the government said threatened to undermine investors’ confidence in the country. Hisao Tanaka, the company’s president and chief executive, will be replaced by Toshiba’s chairman, Masashi Muromachi, until a new chief executive is found...
The Guardian
 
Ukraine agrees to 30-kilometer buffer zone
Ukrainan President Petro Poroshenko has announced plans to introduce a 30-kilometer demilitarized zone in Luhansk. The president has also instated a well-known volunteer as Kyiv's governor of the war-torn region.
Deutsche Welle
 
China says Japan defence review misleading, Japan releases photos
China reserves the right to a "necessary reaction" after Japan issued a defence review that called on Beijing to stop building oil and gas exploration platforms close to disputed waters in the East China Sea, the Defence Ministry has said...
Reuters
 
Pékin investit toujours plus à l’étranger
Entre la Chine et le reste du monde, les mouvements de capitaux ne vont pas tarder à s’inverser. Au cours de la première moitié de l’année 2015, cette tendance est apparue clairement : les investissements directs étrangers reçus par la seconde économie mondiale n’ont affiché qu’une croissance de 8 %, quand les flux en sens inverse bondissaient, eux, de 29 %...
Les Echos
 
Italian coffee maker Lavazza buys Carte Noire 'for €800m'
Italian coffee firm Lavazza has offered to buy French brand Carte Noire from Douwe Egberts, the firm has said. It did not disclose how much it was paying but sources said the deal was worth around €800m (£550m). France would become Lavazza’s second biggest market, and the deal would almost treble the Italian company’s turnover in the country. The agreement is subject to approval from the European Commission and French authorities...
BBC News
 
Une étude allemande pointe les bénéfices économiques de la migration
La République fédérale devrait repenser son aide au développement et sa politique d'asile, estime une nouvelle étude de l'université d'Osnabrück, appelant les responsables politiques à voir la migration comme une opportunité plutôt que comme une menace...
Euractiv
 
The pros and cons of the Trans-Pacific Partnership pact
As the 12 countries negotiating a major Trans-Pacific trade pact address the last sticking points, economist Gary Hufbauer spoke to DW about the risks and advantages of the deal which might be sealed as early as August...
Deutsche Welle
 
US, Cuba Re-Set Ties, Focus on Unsettled Issues
As onlookers chanted “Viva Cuba, Viva Fidel,” the Cuban flag was hoisted outside of the country’s newly established embassy in Washington on Monday. The gesture marked a symbolic end to more than five decades of hostility and mistrust between the two countries. The U.S. also opened its embassy in Cuba on Monday, but there was no ceremony. That will take place when Secretary of State John Kerry visits Havana on August 14...
VOA News
 

This special Press Review reviews articles from the French and Engligh-speaking international online media relating to the unfolding global crisis.
It is delivered freely on a weekly basis to 60,000 recipients worldwide.
Subscription / Contact:
 centre@europe2020.org

2015/07/16 LEAP/E2020 Press Review on the Global Systemic Crisis

3rd Industrial Revolution: in 10 years, the cumbersome great banks will have disappeared
The crisis that we are currently experiencing is a systemic crisis. It is affecting and radically transforming the whole system in place, particularly its key elements such as banks, for example. In political anticipation, it’s important to situate these anticipations in the short to medium term within the landscape of long-term trends. Here, we are participating in applying the consequences of the 3rd industrial revolution (the Internet) to the banking system which we anticipate that, like any pillar of the system in place, will suffer and change radically in the next decade. Just like the music and book publishing businesses in their day and, increasingly, the intermediary sectors (hotels, transport, etc…), the cumbersome great banks have no chance of remaining the prerequisites for currency flows in the face of new opportunities of direct contact between supply and demand over the internet. For these ageing and, moreover, highly criticized institutions, watch out therefore for the jolts on the future path...
Excerpt of the GEAB No 93, March 2015
 
Greek MPs pass bailout austerity laws
Greek prime minister Alexis Tsipras survived a rebellion by a quarter of his governing Syriza party on Wednesday night, after the Greek parliament passed a series of austerity measures needed to access a third EU bailout...
EUObserver
 
Obama thanks Putin for Iran nuclear deal
US President Barack Obama has thanked his Russian counterpart for his role in achieving a nuclear agreement with Iran. Washington says the two leaders also pledged during the talk to work to reduce tensions in Syria...
Deutsche Welle
 
Le Brésil pourrait devenir le premier fournisseur mondial de produits alimentaires
Le Brésil, septième économie de la planète, pourrait dépasser les Etats-Unis et devenir premier fournisseur de produits alimentaires et biens agricoles du monde, selon un rapport présenté mercredi 15 juillet par la FAO et l’OCDE...
Le Monde
 
British banks complain of 40 billion pound extra tax bill
Britain's banks will have been hit by an additional 40 billion pound tax bill by the end of this decade, harming their ability to lend to businesses and create new jobs, an industry lobby group said on Wednesday...
Reuters
 
EU Agrees to Provide Financing for Compressed Air Energy Project
The European Union has agreed to provide as much as 6.5 million euros ($7.1 million) in financing for a compressed air energy-storage project in underground caverns near Larne, Northern Ireland...
Bloomberg
 
Uber hit with multimillion-dollar fine for refusing to reveal business data in US
Uber picked up a substantial fare in California on Wednesday when a judge fined the taxi-alternative company US$7.3 million ($9.9 million) for refusing to give state regulators information about its business practices, including accident details and how accessible vehicles are to disabled riders...
The Guardian
 
Slovenian rockers Laibach to play as first foreign band in North Korea
Slovenia's Laibach will bring heavy rock to North Korea next month, according to the band's record label. Laibach scored "Iron Sky 2," a forthcoming film in which Adolf Hitler commands an army of tyrannosaurus rexes...
Deutsche Welle
 
Iran's nuclear program shifts from confrontation to scientific activities: FM
With the recent nuclear deal between Iran and the world major powers, the nuclear program of the country will shift from confrontation to scientific and commercial activities, Iran's Foreign Minister Mohammad-Javad Zarif said here on Wednesday.
China Daily
 
Japan's Abe pushes security bills through lower house, despite protests
Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on Thursday pushed through legislation in the lower house of parliament that could see troops sent to fight abroad for the first time since World War Two, despite thousands of protesters overnight chanting and holding up placards reading "No War, No Killing"...
Reuters
 
UK running out of money to pay for clean energy
The government is struggling to pay for new clean energy supplies which could result in a rise in household bills or a major cut in investment in renewable technologies...
The Guardian
 
NATO plans biggest exercise since 2002 to counter Islamic State
NATO and its allies will hold their biggest military exercise in more than a decade from October, deploying 36,000 personnel across the Mediterranean to counter the threat of Islamic State on the alliance’s southern flank...
Reuters
 
Forex cushion makes rupee more resilient to global shocks
The Indian rupee may no longer be vulnerable to global events, such as the recent Greece crisis or a possible meltdown of China's stock markets, as the country's foreign exchange reserves are now adequate to fund imports for nearly 11 months...
The Economic Times
 
UK restricts students' right to work
hinese students who study in Britain won't be affected much by new rules on the right to work announced on Monday by James Brokenshire, the security and immigration minister...
China Daily
 
Egyptian woman describes jail conditions in letter
Esraa el-Taweel is one of thousands of young people detained by authorities since the fall of former-President Morsi. An Egyptian woman detained by authorities without charge since the start of June has provided a rare glimpse in to the lives of women detained in the country's prisons, in a letter she wrote...
Al Jazeera
 

This special Press Review reviews articles from the French and Engligh-speaking international online media relating to the unfolding global crisis.
It is delivered freely on a weekly basis to 60,000 recipients worldwide.
Subscription / Contact:
 centre@europe2020.org

miércoles, 29 de julio de 2015

2015/06/23 LEAP/E2020 Press Review on the Global Systemic Crisis. Anticipar, es prever para actuar.

The Great Systemic Transformation of the West
As the GEAB has said for a long time, the global system which is collapsing in front of our noses was 500 years old. It was born out of the Renaissance’s major discoveries which gave Europe a 500 year advantage, then to the Russian and American reincarnation, to the detriment of the existing major civilizations such as China and Iran. This Western-centric world no longer exists today and it’s the West itself that triggered this transition: by inventing colonization then decolonization, then postcolonial guilt, then cooperation, then the regional integration process, then globalization, then the Internet,… somehow the West has created/wished for this multi-polarization which, therefore, has no reason to be so scary for some. It’s time to face the consequences of our policies and our speeches and agreed to share the planet. And that is what is happening. With Obama currently providing the best proof that, after appearing instrumental in escalating Euro-Russian tensions last year, he has turned into a real peacemaker in the Middle East this year with this 180° strategic shift as regards Iran...
LEAP (Excerpt GEAB 95)
 
The Good, The Bad and the Ugly About the Iran Deal
The deal with Iran has been generally characterized as either good or bad, and many pronounced it as historic with far-reaching regional and even global implications. I completely disagree with the characterizations of the deal as entirely good or bad, and certainly it is not historic as of yet...
The Huffington Post
 
MPs warn government fairness of EU referendum in jeopardy
The British government has cast a shadow over the fairness of a planned referendum on Britain's membership of the European Union by trying to relax rules designed to ensure pre-vote official impartiality, a committee of MPs said...
Reuters
 
'Netanyahu cheered up by US missile offer': how the Onion scooped Haaretz
‘US Soothes Upset Netanyahu With Shipment of Ballistic Missiles’ sounds like a headline from the Onion. And it is – except that this time it’s true. International media organisations have regularly been caught out by the satirical news site, fooled into thinking that Kim Jong-un really was voted the world’s sexiest man, or that Americans would prefer a beer with Mahmoud Ahmadinejad than Barack Obama...
The Guardian
 
Israel threatens EU-funded NGOs
Israel’s deputy foreign minister has told EU countries to stop funding left-wing NGOs which, she says, “blacken” Israel’s name. Tzipi Hotovely issued the warning in a series of meetings with senior EU diplomats in Israel in recent days, according to Israeli media...
EUObserver
 
Navy starts exercise in S. China Sea
The Chinese navy announced 10 days of military training in the waters near eastern Hainan Island in the South China Sea starting on Wednesday, amid heightened tensions in the region. During the training, "no vessel is allowed to enter the designated maritime areas", according to China's Maritime Safety Administration, which released the drill plan on Monday...
China Daily
 
Greek PM Tsipras rallies Syriza backing before bailout vote
Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras tried to rally his Syriza party on Tuesday before a vote in parliament on the second package of measures demanded by international creditors to open talks on a new bailout deal...
Reuters
 
Toshiba boss quits over £780m accounting scandal
Toshiba’s boss has quit the Japanese conglomerate over a 152bn yen (£780m) accounting scandal that the government said threatened to undermine investors’ confidence in the country. Hisao Tanaka, the company’s president and chief executive, will be replaced by Toshiba’s chairman, Masashi Muromachi, until a new chief executive is found...
The Guardian
 
Ukraine agrees to 30-kilometer buffer zone
Ukrainan President Petro Poroshenko has announced plans to introduce a 30-kilometer demilitarized zone in Luhansk. The president has also instated a well-known volunteer as Kyiv's governor of the war-torn region.
Deutsche Welle
 
China says Japan defence review misleading, Japan releases photos
China reserves the right to a "necessary reaction" after Japan issued a defence review that called on Beijing to stop building oil and gas exploration platforms close to disputed waters in the East China Sea, the Defence Ministry has said...
Reuters
 
Pékin investit toujours plus à l’étranger
Entre la Chine et le reste du monde, les mouvements de capitaux ne vont pas tarder à s’inverser. Au cours de la première moitié de l’année 2015, cette tendance est apparue clairement : les investissements directs étrangers reçus par la seconde économie mondiale n’ont affiché qu’une croissance de 8 %, quand les flux en sens inverse bondissaient, eux, de 29 %...
Les Echos
 
Italian coffee maker Lavazza buys Carte Noire 'for €800m'
Italian coffee firm Lavazza has offered to buy French brand Carte Noire from Douwe Egberts, the firm has said. It did not disclose how much it was paying but sources said the deal was worth around €800m (£550m). France would become Lavazza’s second biggest market, and the deal would almost treble the Italian company’s turnover in the country. The agreement is subject to approval from the European Commission and French authorities...
BBC News
 
Une étude allemande pointe les bénéfices économiques de la migration
La République fédérale devrait repenser son aide au développement et sa politique d'asile, estime une nouvelle étude de l'université d'Osnabrück, appelant les responsables politiques à voir la migration comme une opportunité plutôt que comme une menace...
Euractiv
 
The pros and cons of the Trans-Pacific Partnership pact
As the 12 countries negotiating a major Trans-Pacific trade pact address the last sticking points, economist Gary Hufbauer spoke to DW about the risks and advantages of the deal which might be sealed as early as August...
Deutsche Welle
 
US, Cuba Re-Set Ties, Focus on Unsettled Issues
As onlookers chanted “Viva Cuba, Viva Fidel,” the Cuban flag was hoisted outside of the country’s newly established embassy in Washington on Monday. The gesture marked a symbolic end to more than five decades of hostility and mistrust between the two countries. The U.S. also opened its embassy in Cuba on Monday, but there was no ceremony. That will take place when Secretary of State John Kerry visits Havana on August 14...
VOA News
 

This special Press Review reviews articles from the French and Engligh-speaking international online media relating to the unfolding global crisis.
It is delivered freely on a weekly basis to 60,000 recipients worldwide.
Subscription / Contact
centre@europe2020.org

2015/06/18 LEAP/E2020 Press Review on the Global Systemic Crisis

NATO, the IMF, divisions, Grexit… Looking out to 2020: the return of European wars ?
In the face of some rather worrying indicators in recent months, we have got to the point of asking ourselves the question of the likelihood of a return of European wars looking out to 2020. Actually, it’s not because our team continues to see the crisis’ exit tracks falling into place, that it doesn’t keep watch over the remaining obstacles on the path to these exits; obstacles which to us seem to be of two kinds essentially : first, the efforts of the world before’s masters to keep control, anachronistic conflicts and rooted in the past, caused by increasingly isolated, but also increasingly aggressive powers, amongst whose number there remains especially, but not only, the US military ; second, what are the « natural » sparks, likely to give birth to enormous friction between tectonic plates, the best image evoking the geopolitical rebalancing underway. (Summary of the article : NATO, the IMF, divisions, Grexit… Looking out to 2020: the return of European wars ? / 2015-2020 – The wide-reaching isolation of « hard line America » / Greek crisis : the temptation to close the door on the IMF)... Subscribe to the GEAB, our monthly confidential letter

The eurozone crisis by the numbers
The financial crisis in Greece and other eurozone countries has been dragging on for years. We take a closer look at how hard some countries were struck, and how they're trying to get back into shape.

China, India are ‘changing the nature’ of gold bullion markets
Investment demand was the primary driver of gold until recently, but “price-sensitive EM demand is an increasingly important driver of gold prices, they said. EM buyers and sellers “largely define” the range for gold—with prices near $1,100 an ounce attracting buyers, but prices near $1,300 causing buyers to “shy away from purchases”...
Market Watch

Austrian chancellor sides with Greece in debt row
Austrian Chancellor Werner Faymann expressed solidarity with Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras before meeting the leader in Athens on Wednesday in a bid to end a standoff with international creditors over a rescue package...
Reuters

EU ministers discuss migrant scheme
Interior ministers are meeting in Luxembourg on Tuesday (16 June) to discuss a plan to distribute asylum seekers in Europe based on criteria like GDP and population size...
EUObserver

Texit ? - Texas wants its gold back from the feds
Deep in the bowels of an office building in lower Manhattan sits more than 500,000 gold bars, with a combined weight of nearly 7,000 tons. They are in the custody of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, which is holding them for the U.S. government, foreign governments, state governments, other central banks, and official international organizations...
CBSNews

API data reportedly show U.S. crude supply down 2.9 million barrels
The American Petroleum Institute late Tuesday reported that crude supplies fell 2.9 million barrels for the week ended June 12, according to sources. Analysts surveyed by Platts forecast a 2.4 million-barrel decline. July crude CLN5, +0.98%was at $60.08 a barrel in electronic trading, up from the $59.97 close on Nymex. The more closely watched Energy Information Administration report is due Wednesday.
Market Watch

La Réserve fédérale américaine moins optimiste pour 2015
La réunion du comité de politique monétaire de la Fed n’a pas débouché sur une hausse des taux. Celle-ci a revu ses projections macro-économiques pour 2015 à la baisse...
Les Echos

NATO implementing biggest defense reinforcement since Cold War
he first full exercise of NATO’s new rapid reaction force is taking place in eastern Europe. The Organization’s chief said the alliance was implementing its biggest defense reinforcement since the Cold War. The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) created the rapid reaction force to deter Russia from taking any action against its eastern European allies which were once governed from Moscow...
Deutsche Welle

Egypt faces condemnation over Morsi death sentence
Egypt is facing international criticism after it upheld the death sentence against deposed President Mohamed Morsi, with the US, its military ally, calling it “deeply troubling” and “politically motivated”...
Al Jazeera

Les constructeurs automobiles investissent l’autopartage
L’autopartage n’a jamais été aussi populaire chez les constructeurs automobiles. Aux côtés des « pure players », ces spécialistes de l’autopartage que sont Autolib’ (Bolloré), l’américain Zipcar (Avis), l’allemand Flinkster (Deutsche Bahn) ou la coopérative française Citiz, les groupes automobiles tentent de se faire une place sur ce marché appelé à croître dans les années à venir...
Le Monde

Far-right parties form group in EU parliament
The National Front and the Dutch PVV party have formed a new far-right group in the European Parliament. The NF chief, Marine Le Pen, tweeted on Monday (15 June): “I will announce the formation of our group – Europe of Nations and Freedom [ENF] – tomorrow in Brussels”...
EUObserver

California Says Uber Driver Is Employee, Not a Contractor
In a ruling that fuels a long-simmering debate over some of Silicon Valley’s fastest-growing technology companies and the work they are creating, the California Labor Commissioner’s Office said that a driver for the ride-hailing service Uber should be classified as an employee, not an independent contractor...
NY Times

France Bans Sales of Monsanto’s Roundup in Garden Centers, 3 Months After U.N. Calls It ‘Probable Carcinogen’
After an arm of the U.N.’s World Health Organization (WHO) identified the main ingredient in Monsanto’s popular weed killer Roundup as “probably carcinogenic to humans,” France has taken a step to limit sales of the herbicide...
Newsweek

China, Australia sign landmark free trade agreement
The Australian and Chinese governments signed a long-awaited free trade agreement in a ceremony in Canberra on Wednesday, freeing up trade between the two countries...
Xinhuanet
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This special Press Review reviews articles from the French and Engligh-speaking international online media relating to the unfolding global crisis.
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La OTAN, el FMI, divisiones, Grexit… mirando al 2020: ¿el regreso de las guerras europeas?

NATO, the IMF, divisions, Grexit… Looking out to 2020: the return of European wars ?

Otan, FMI, tensions, divisions, Grexit… Horizon 2020 : le retour des guerres européennes ?

NATO, FMI, tensioni, divisioni, Grexit… Horizon 2020: il ritorno delle guerre europee?

NATO, FMI, tensões, divisões, Grexit … horizonte 2020 : o regresso das guerras europeias ?

NATO, FMI, tensiuni, diviziuni, Grexit… – Orizont 2020: intoarcerea razboaielor europene?

Глобальный системный кризис – горизонт 2020г: возвращение европейских войн?

Debido a la combinación de algunos indicadores más que preocupantes durante los últimos meses, nos hemos planteado la posibilidad de un regreso de las guerras europeas en el horizonte 2020. El hecho de que nuestro equipo comience a ver salidas a la crisis actual no quiere decir que bajemos la guardia o dejemos de vigilar los obstáculos que se pueden presentar en el camino hacia esas salidas. Obstáculos que esencialmente parecen tener dos naturalezas distintas:. en primer lugar, los esfuerzos de las autoridades del mundo del ayer para mantenerse a salvo, conflictos anacrónicos enraizados en el pasado, generados por unas potencias cada vez más aisladas, pero también cada vez más agresivas, entre los que sobresale, aunque no es el único, el ejército de Estados Unidos.. de otra parte, las chispas, ahora “naturales”, pueden surgir de la enorme fricción entre las placas tectónicas, la imagen que evoca de la mejor manera los reequilibrios geopolíticos en curso.
Los títulos del GEAB:
  1. Perspectives : La OTAN, el FMI, divisiones, Grexit… mirando al 2020: ¿el regreso de las guerras europeas?
  2. Telescope : 2015-2020 – El aislamiento de la “América dura”
  3. Focus : Crisis griega: la tentación de cerrar la puerta al FMI
Nuestro equipo ha decidido hacer pública la sección intitulada : “Crisis griega: la tentación de cerrar la puerta al FMI”
Crisis griega: la tentación de cerrar la puerta al FMI
Si creemos a nuestros medios de comunicación, parece que el mundo entero se haya detenido por el acuerdo griego que persiguen la UE, el BCE y el FMI. Entre los repentinos acontecimientos y la situación de empate, la tensión es creciente y desde ahora no se excluye[1] un impago griego. ¿Un cataclismo o una oportunidad?
Grecia permanecerá en la zona euro
Como siempre hemos dicho, y seguimos diciendo, Grecia permanecerá en la zona euro. Es extraño que, hasta hace poco, todos los medios de comunicación asociaban impago y Grexit. Esta época ha pasado: a partir de ahora los dos problemas están claramente separados, como debe ser, y una señal es que Grecia mantendrá la moneda única. Aunque el impago es una posibilidad, por otra parte. Y si ese es el caso, será un incumplimiento deliberado, organizado e incluso previsto, entre los europeos. El caso griego no ha estado bajo el microscopio mundial durante los últimos seis años para que el desenlace de la crisis suceda de una manera inesperada.
Además estamos viendo que se está teniendo en cuenta políticamente a la Eurozona, con Merkel y Hollande que quieren un “fortalecimiento de la zona euro”[2] con Juncker que está insuflando vida a una nueva energía política y, con Sigmar Gabriel (el vicecanciller alemán) y Emmanuel Macron (el ministro francés de Economía) que exigen una “integración radical” de la zona euro[3]. Es evidente que todo esto no es muy compatible con la salida desordenada de Grecia de la zona euro. Ni Juncker, ni Tsipras, que han estado luchando durante meses para llegar a un acuerdo, esperan un Grexit. Un Grexit que sólo es una fantasía de los mercados financieros y los medios de comunicación.
El FMI: una espina en el pie Europeo
Sin duda, este Grexit se había buscado, deliberadamente o no, por parte de algunos jugadores en el juego de póquer que se está reproduciendo actualmente, y en particular por el jugador de Washington. Todo el mundo sabe la posición histórica del FMI en cuanto a la gestión de la deuda soberana. El caso griego no es una excepción: de los tres miembros de la troika, el FMI es de lejos el más exigente ideológicamente en sus peticiones en lo que respecta a Grecia[4].
Si la tragedia griega ha durado tanto tiempo, no es el tamaño del problema lo que está en cuestión. Para que sepamos bien de que estamos hablando, era necesario inyectar alrededor de 240 mil millones€ en la economía griega – o más bien en los bancos griegos y el sistema financiero, para que no se colapsaran (lo que habría puesto en riesgo el sistema europeo). Una cantidad que sólo representa una cuarta parte del QE del BCE, por ejemplo, o una pequeña parte de los planes de recuperación y de apoyo bancario europeo.
No, si la tragedia griega ha durado tanto tiempo es porque hay otra razón. ¿Los alemanes no quieren pagar? Ellos no son los únicos que pagan (sólo representan el 22% de las cantidades prestadas), y siempre lo han hecho hasta ahora, al final sin demasiado alboroto. En su lugar hay que ir a buscar la razón en el FMI, sus demandas excesivas y demasiado neoliberales para el continente europeo. Un “aliado” impuesto por Washington en 2010, pero que representa menos del 20% de la ayuda (de los cuales más de la mitad ya ha sido reembolsada); un aliado problemático del que a Europa le gustaría deshacerse a fin de gestionar el problema por sí misma, sin la interferencia de Estados Unidos. Sobre todo porque, finalmente, Europa ha creado los medios para resolver este problema, gracias sobre todo a la FEEF (Fondo Europeo de Estabilidad Financiera), y luego su sucesor, el MEE (Mecanismo Europeo de Estabilidad).
communique 2
Gráfico 1 – Distribución de la deuda griega  (320 miles de millones€). Fuente: La Croix.
La oportunidad ideal para deshacerse del FMI
El resultado del problema griego está, por tanto, íntimamente ligado a la resolución del FMI. Un problema que no supone más que  21 mil millones de euros.
communique 3
Gráfico 2 – Los importes debidos por Atenas a sus acreedores y su calendario de pagos. Fuente: WSJ.
Muchas fuentes se muestran escépticas sobre que Grecia tenga la cantidad exigida por el FMI para el 30 de junio (1.600 millones de euros) y el propio ministro del Interior ha descartado un reembolso al FMI sin ayuda externa[5].
Si creemos al ministro de Economía, Yanis Varoufakis[6]  (que se lamenta del método utilizado y al que le hubiera gustado negociar directamente con los Estados miembros de la UE), la troika nunca ha negociado realmente y se satisface a sí misma con la imposición de sus exigencias. ¿Una forma de jugar al póquer con apuestas de que Grecia cederá? Tal vez. Pero sobre todo una gestión tecnocrática de la crisis griega con implicaciones políticas claras … y un juego muy arriesgado ya que los mensajes enviados por el Gobierno griego a los europeos (a través de entrevistas a Tsipras o a Varoufakis en los periódicos europeos) son claros y acabarán por dar fruto: ¿quién no entiende que tienen razón[7]  y que ellos, además, han adoptado una disposición extraordinaria para continuar las negociaciones sin utilizar su argumento decisivo – impago y salida de la zona euro?
Esta es la idea que hemos sostenido durante varios meses, que hay un acuerdo tácito entre Grecia y el Eurogrupo, donde el gobierno de Tsipras ha sido enviado a la batalla contra el FMI y sus demandas nada razonables.
¿Tendrán los líderes europeos el coraje de asumir un incumplimiento del pago de Grecia? Probablemente no, porque las consecuencias son bastante impredecibles[8]. Pero existe otra solución normal, tal como menciona Varoufakis: que el MEE (que fue creado para esto) adelante el dinero que Grecia debe al FMI[9]. No incumplimiento de pago, solidaridad europea y un derrocamiento del FMI (ya que estos últimos serían reembolsados ​​totalmente): hay muchas ventajas en esta solución. Esto incluso satisface al FMI, porque entiende claramente que todo el mundo está en el mismo barco y que es mejor ser reembolsados ​​por Europa que continuar vertiendo gasolina sobre las llamas y arriesgar todo el sistema financiero hasta que explote. Y luego, imaginemos por un segundo el mensaje que una denegación de reembolso griega al FMI enviaría a todos los deudores de esta institución. ¿El FMI prevé realmente llevar hasta los límites su lógica? ¿O no es esto, como hemos pensado durante varios meses, sólo un espectáculo entre los jugadores que tienen interés en el cambio y para eso necesitan una situación de extrema tensión que justifique sus movimientos?
La solución de Varoufakis es indudablemente el compromiso adecuado. Pero si realmente no se puede aplicar, hay otro, más violento e impredecible, pero con el mismo potencial para terminar la crisis.
Incumplimiento de pago de la zona euro: ¿sueño o pesadilla?
En realidad, en el punto donde están las negociaciones, la alternativa más creíble ahora es la más violenta: permitamos el impago parcial de Grecia el impago. A priori esto requeriría mucho más valor político de lo que nuestros líderes son capaces – a no ser que la procratisnación europea empuje a Tsipras al límite (no hay que olvidar que aquí tiene una gran carta bajo la manga). De acuerdo con nuestro equipo esta opción es, por lo tanto, poco probable. Dicho esto tendría consecuencias interesantes y que son cada vez menos tabú.
En efecto, sería necesario un examen de todas las deudas de la eurozona (y posiblemente mundial). Porque ¿por qué liberar a Grecia de parte de su deuda, cuando España, Italia, Portugal o Francia, por ejemplo, están también luchando con su deuda? Esto tendría el mérito de poner en marcha una reflexión sobre el tema[10], con la posibilidad hacer pura y simplemente desaparecer una porción de la deuda pública[11].
La deuda privada se ha convertido en una deuda soberana que está aplastando los estados, y no sólo a Grecia, a partir de ahora incapaces de la menor acción de revitalización económica. Una limpieza forzada a través de un parcial y reflexionado impago tendría realmente consecuencias desagradables para algunos establecimientos parásitos financieros, pero finalmente sería una manera de compensar el sistema – este compensación es la llave para salir de la crisis sistémica global.
Por tanto, es una gran tentación organizar un no reembolso de ciertos acreedores o del FMI e iniciar un proceso de cancelación de la deuda, especialmente en un contexto de aumento de las tasas de interés que están a punto de deshacer todos los esfuerzos de austeridad asumidos por los países endeudados.
Toda la negociación en torno al emblemático caso griego es, sin duda, ante todo y sobre todo, un buen momento para la reflexión y la preparación de la aplicación de una solución final que podría, después de todo, por qué no, implicar el empujar a los griegos a disparar la gran bomba que elimine las deudas que están aplastando el planeta.
Sin embargo, nuestro pronóstico es, en cualquier caso, la elección de una solución “razonable” de la transferencia de la deuda sobre la Eurozona que marque la reanudación de la independencia financiera del continente europeo… Para leer más, suscríbase a GEAB
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[1] Fuente: Le Monde, 13/06/2015.
[2] Fuente: Reuters, 26/05/2015.
[3] Fuente: The Guardian, 03/06/2015.
[4] “El FMI sigue teniendo una línea dura”; “El FMI más exigente que la Comisión “… Fuente:  Le Monde, 27/05/2015.
[5] Fuente : RT, 25/05/2015.
[6] Leer esta clarificadora entrevista: Tagesspiegel, 09/06/2015.
[7] Un ejemplo reciente se refiere a un comentario de Varoufakis declarandose no culpable sobre la incapacidad del gobierno para hacer frente a la cuestión de la evasión fiscal teniendo en cuenta el hecho de que el sistema jurídico del país estaba paralizado por falta de dinero (ver el enlace anterior). ¿Cómo responder a eso?
[8] Las apuestas están bien resumidas aquí: Bloomberg, 25/05/2015.
[9] Otra solución : que la QE del BCE finalmente beneficie a Grecia.
[10] Algunos ya han empezado: el 60% de la deuda pública francesa sería “ilegítima”. Desde ahí a la limpieza solo hay un paso. Fuente : The Guardian, 09/06/2014.
[11] Como mínimo, la limpieza de la deuda en poder de otros Estados europeos no puede hacer daño, pero las cantidades no son muy altas.