lunes, 31 de agosto de 2015

2015/08/27 LEAP/E2020 Press Review on the Global Systemic Crisis

China – The potential financial meltdown (an extract from GEAB No 95 – May 2015)
Many of the funds advanced and loans issued by Chinese commercial banks and other lenders to the LGFVs are deemed to fail. (LGFV = local government financing vehicles). If people start doubting the LGFVs’ credibility, we would see a cascading financial crisis in China, comparable to the 2008 financial crisis in the US, as investors started withdrawing their money from these organizations and the value of their bonds, loans and stocks would crumble. Loans issued by banks are an important part of their assets and their solvability is, in part, determined by the quality of their loan book; if the LGFVs’ credibility collapses, China’s State-owned commercial banks would be severely hit and the result could be a bank crisis. However, China is a State-led command economy and all State-owned financial institutions, including the People’s Bank of China, are responsible to the CPC which decides on investments and defaults with the Chinese financial authorities taking care of bad loans to solve the debt problem. There is no political reason why China’s current debt problem should unravel as chaotically as we saw in the US and Europe, it will be resolved according to the CPC’s wishes. China is in the position that it can solve its debt crisis without harming ...

China's Central Bank Intensifies Assault on Financing Costs With Cash Injections
China’s central bank brought out an array of tools to target stubbornly high financing costs this week, reducing interest rates, offering cheap loans and adding cash to the financial system through open-market operations...

Exchanges, Barclays win dismissal of U.S. high-frequency trading case
Major U.S. stock exchanges and Barclays Plc on Wednesday won the dismissal of nationwide litigation in which pension funds and other investors accused them of rigging markets to benefit high-frequency traders...

How exposed are American households to the stock market?
Should the Federal Reserve worry about tanking stock markets? One reason for calm is that they do not much affect household finances. Just over half of Americans say they are invested in the stock market, but their direct stock holdings are small, making up only 14% of household balance sheets (see chart). That means the effect of this week's stock market falls on household spending, and on the American economy, is probably limited...

Oil Industry Needs Half a Trillion Dollars to Endure Price Slump
At a time when the oil price is languishing at its lowest level in six years, producers need to find half a trillion dollars to repay debt. Some might not make it. The number of oil and gas company bonds with yields of 10 percent or more, a sign of distress, tripled in the past year, leaving 168 firms in North America, Europe and Asia holding this debt, data compiled by Bloomberg show...

Greece’s Alexis Tsipras Struggles to Keep Syriza Party Together
Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras faces the growing challenge of warding off the disintegration of his Syriza party even before a September election is called officially. Many lawmakers and party members haven’t decided whether they will run...

Ukraine and rebels to implement Minsk deal by September 1
Kyiv and pro-Russian separatists in its east have agreed to end all violations to the peace deal that was signed in Minsk earlier this year. Both sides blame each other for the ongoing violence...

Serbia and Kosovo sign ‘landmark’ deal
Serbia and Kosovo reached agreement Tuesday (25 August) on key issues for better relations between the two countries, and between Albanian and Serbian people in Kosovo. The deal, brokered in Brussels by EU chief diplomat Federica Mogherini, establishes strong local powers for Kosovo areas with a Serbian majority...

Engagement with China in US' national interest: White House
Facing criticism from the Republican party on inviting Chinese President Xi Jinping for a state visit next month, amid allegations of cyber-attacks and human rights issues, the White House has said that engagement with China is in the national interest of the US...

US increases airforce presence in Europe
The US Air Force will “very soon” deploy F-22 fighters jets to Europe, Air Force secretary Deborah James announced Monday (24 August) as part of a plan to increase Nato presence near Russia, while A-10 tankbusters arrived in Estonia on Saturday...

Putin and Sisi pledge to boost Russia-Egypt ties
Presidents discuss creation of free trade zone involving Eurasian Economic Union and also nuclear power plant in Egypt. Russian President Vladimir Putin and his Egyptian counterpart Abdel Fattah el-Sisi have pledged to further boost relations between the two countries at talks in Moscow...

Czech Republic advocates use of army to protect borders
The EU could better protect itself from migrants if it had a common army, Czech president Milos Zeman said Tuesday (25 August), while the Czech finance minister, Andrej Babis, called for the closure of the Schengen area’s external borders and for NATO help...

North, South Korea reach agreement to ease tensions
North and South Korea agreed early on Tuesday to end a military standoff that sparked an exchange of artillery fire and had ratcheted up tension on one of the world’s most heavily-fortified borders. Under an accord reached in the early hours, following more than two days of talks, North Korea expressed regret over the recent wounding of South Korean soldiers in landmine blasts and Seoul agreed to halt anti-Pyongyang propaganda broadcasts...

Erdogan calls on Turks to choose 'stability' in upcoming elections
President Recep Tayyip Erdogan on Wednesday urged Turkey to vote for "stability" in 1 November polls, as three pro-Kurdish MPs were invited into a caretaker government in an unprecedented move...

Venezuela and Colombia hold talks over border dispute
Meeting prompted by Maduro’s move to close two border crossings and deport Colombians citing an attack by smugglers. The foreign ministers of Colombia and Venezuela have promised to increase cooperation following the closure of two major border crossings and a crackdown on migrants and smugglers by Venezuela...

Israeli air strike targets Hamas in response to rocket attack
Israel launched an air strike against a Hamas facility on Thursday in response to a rocket fired from the Gaza Strip, the Israeli army said. No one was hurt in the night-time rocket attack on southern Israel, the army said in a statement...
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