In short, one must expect a paralysis in economic activity affecting
between 1% and 2% of US GDP from September/October 2012 simply due to markets
freezing up and putting the economic players involved on “stand-by”: Pentagon
procurement agreements, military R&D programmes, suppliers/private partner
contracts for US social programs, the health industry… With an already dying
economy , the growing strength of “Taxmargeddon” thus guarantees a strong US
recession from the 3rd quarter of 2012. Major businesses like local service
providers, federal social services like municipal services or at states’ level…
all will be affected . Little broadcast by the major American media, panic is
starting to grip the leaders of whole sectors of the country’s economy. Let’s
remember, as our team has emphasized for several years, that at the time of this
crisis the US economy has in fact become very heavily dependent on federal
financing. Even if many Americans aren’t aware of it, they have been living in a
“socialist” country for a long time. However what could be worse in a system
where State financing plays a central role to suddenly see this money drying up!
Ask Eastern Europeans of the 1980/1990s, they will tell you. Behind the « Greek
mouse » and the « end of the Euro smokescreen », here’s the 800 pound gorilla in
the room! LEAP/E2020 -
Excerpt GEAB N°66 (June 2012)
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2012-08/29/content_15716517.htm
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2012-08/29/content_15716517.htm
China has said that it could face "uncertain factors" in its wheat and
corn harvests for the rest of the year, as prospects for many global
agricultural products exporters, such as the United States, are also bleak due
to excessive heat. China
Daily
What would it take to break the gold price out of the $1,600 to $1,700 an
ounce range in which it has been trading for the past year? Another massive
blast of quantitative easing from the Federal Reserve? A final breakdown of the
euro? A war between Israel and Iran? Market
Watch
China’s retailers from clothing to computers are reporting weaker sales
growth, undermining Premier Wen Jiabao’s goal of relying more on consumer
spending for expansion as the economy cools. Bloomberg
The US Economy and the Future of Growth: Well This Is Depressing
The United States has produced one of the most successful economic stories
in human history. We've had a lot of inherent advantages: abundant natural
resources, favorable demographic trends, relative political stability supported
by the protective benefit of two oceans, to name a few. CNBC
Les crédits aux entreprises continuent à ralentir
Les entreprises qui souffrent le plus sont les holdings et administrations
d'entreprises, qui subissent une chute de 10,4 % des crédits entre juin 2011 et
juin 2012. Les secteurs de l'industrie manufacturière et de l'information et de
la communication se replient également. Le
Figaro
Socialists Ride Wave of Anti-EU Sentiment
The economy is in trouble and unemployment is rising -- in the Netherlands
as in much of the rest of Europe. Ahead of upcoming elections, the Socialists
are riding a wave of euro-skepticism and may emerge as the strongest political
force in the country. Der
Spiegel
U.S. Drought Boosts Brazilian Agriculture
While consumers across the globe are currently struggling with higher food
prices caused by the worst U.S. drought in half a century, Brazilian farmers are
enjoying bumper sales and a surge up the agricultural league tables. The
Rio Times
Support grows for European Redemption Pact
As the eurozone is laboring under the debt crisis in its Southern
periphery, German economists have proposed a debt redemption fund to stabilize
the current situation. But Berlin has not yet warmed to the idea. Deutsche Welle
Petit à petit, l’Angola fait son nid
Banques, sociétés pétrolières, médias, agroalimentaire... Aiguisé par la
crise, l'appétit des Angolais pour les entreprises portugaises semble
insatiable. Le manque d'argent, d'un côté, et son abondance de l'autre
expliquent cette tendance. De même que la proximité politique des deux pays. PressEurop
Le Secrétaire général participera au Sommet du Mouvement des non-alignés à
Téhéran
Placé sous la Présidence de la République islamique d'Iran, ce Sommet
devrait réunir les dirigeants des 120 pays qui sont membres du NAM, ainsi que de
nombreux pays observateurs. Ces derniers jours, selon les médias, des appels
auraient été adressés par Israël et les États-Unis au Secrétaire général pour
qu'il boycotte la réunion. UN.org
U.S. Arms Sales Make Up Most of Global Market
Weapons sales by the United States tripled in 2011 to a record high,
driven by major arms sales to Persian Gulf allies concerned about Iran’s
regional ambitions, according to a new study for Congress. New
York Times
Investors and economists agree: No QE3
More stimulus from the Federal Reserve would probably boost the stock
market, but regardless, both investors and economists agree: They don't want
QE3. In a CNNMoney survey of investment strategists, 93% said they don't think
the Federal Reserve should announce more stimulus at its next meeting. And 77%
of economists surveyed agreed. CNN
Money
What Can Be Done to Fix UK Banks’ Reputations?
UK banks are facing a crisis of confidence – according to recent polls,
they are less popular and trusted than politicians or tabloid journalists. This
level of opprobrium is not without cause. A series of scandals have ensured that
almost every level of society from ordinary savers through small businesses,
institutional shareholders – and of course politicians – feels that they have a
reason to resent banks. CNBC
Merkel Reins In Greek Exit Talk in Euro’s Decisive Phase
Asked about comments by a party leader calling for Greece to leave the
17-nation currency, Merkel told ARD television that such comments were damaging
as crisis fighting reaches a “decisive phase.” Alexander Dobrindt, general
secretary of the governing Bavarian Christian Social Union, told Bild newspaper
that Greece wouldn’t be part of the euro in 2013. Bloomberg
Unilever prépare le retour de la pauvreté en Europe
Unilever revoit sa stratégie en Europe en tablant sur le retour de la
pauvreté sur le Vieux Continent. Pour ce faire, le groupe envisage de réduire
ses conditionnements afin de rendre les produits meilleur marché. La
Tribune
Guest Post: The Fantasy of Debt: No Trade-Offs, No Sacrifices
Easy, cheap credit has created a fantasy world where everyone "deserves"
everything right now, and trade-offs and sacrifice have been banished as
unnecessary. Debt offers a compelling fantasy: there is no need for difficult
trade-offs or sacrifices, everything can be bought and enjoyed now. In the old
days when credit was scarce and dear, buying a better auto required substituting
1,000 brown-bag lunches for restaurant meals: yes, four years of daily
sacrifice. ZeroHedge
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