jueves, 9 de noviembre de 2017

2017/11/08 - Political Anticipation - A LEAP Press review

Catalonia: Re-thinking the political-institutional architecture of the EU

The Catalan crisis has a whiff of the Spanish civil war, proportion wise. Rajoy government's serious mistakes in managing the crisis of the independence referendum are due to the fact that Spain does not have a far-right party (like most other western countries); this political trend is completely integrated into the classic right-wing party, Mariano Rajoy's People Party. Thus, instead of managing with finesse, the Catalans' unconstitutional inclinations of independence have been treated frontally in a violence resulting in radicalisation. Catalans will soon have no choice but to be independantists or traitors to the cause, whilst the majority is in reality autonomist and expects Madrid to lower down the tension...
(GEAB 118 / LEAP  http://www.leap2020.net/newsletter/lt.php?id=Mh8GBQVUTwtQXh4DBgQBBw)

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European arrest warrant issued for ex-Catalan leader Carles Puigdemont
A Spanish judge has issued an international arrest warrant for Catalonia's ousted president a day after she jailed eight members of the region's separatist government pending possible charges over last week's declaration of independence. In the latest twist in Spain's worst political crisis in four decades, a national court judge on Friday issued a European arrest warrant for Carles Puigdemont in response to a request from State prosecutors...
(The Guardian  http://www.leap2020.net/newsletter/lt.php?id=Mh8GBQVXTwtQXh4DBgQBBw)

Japan PM Abe: ‘All options on the table' with N Korea

As US President Donald Trumparrives in Tokyo on Sunday, he and Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe are expected to act in lockstep in terms of their messaging on North Korea - nuclear weapons and missile development are entirely unacceptable and “all options are on the table” in terms of how this threat may be met...
(AlJazeera  http://www.leap2020.net/newsletter/lt.php?id=Mh8GBQVWTwtQXh4DBgQBBw)

October 2017-March 2019: Theresa May resigns in favour of Philip Hammond and the Brexit negotiations are extended

Following the publication of Boris Johnson's articles, Philip Hammond, the Chancellor of the Exchequer (Finance Minister), a defender of the Remain camp and fervent supporter of May, did not hesitate to warn Johnson, by stating “no one is unsackable”. Several British newspapers announced then a reorganisation within the British government, allowing May to show Boris Johnson the door...
(GEAB 118 / LEAP  http://www.leap2020.net/newsletter/lt.php?id=Mh8GBQVZTwtQXh4DBgQBBw)

EU to discuss blacklist of tax havens after Paradise Papers leaks

European Union finance ministers will on Tuesday discuss setting up a blacklist of worldwide tax havens, EU officials said, after leaked documents from an offshore law firm exposed new high-profile cases of tax avoidance. The decision to include the subject in the monthly meeting's agenda came after the publication over the weekend in several media of the so-called Paradise Papers...
(Reuters  http://www.leap2020.net/newsletter/lt.php?id=Mh8GBQVYTwtQXh4DBgQBBw)

Nordic people prioritise closer defence cooperation


“I wish that we stand together in the Nordic countries as the world has become strange”, said one of 3,202 Nordic people interviewed in August and September about Nordic cooperation. The quote was highlighted in the presentation of a new Nordic survey to the public on Tuesday (31 October) in relation to the Nordic Council's yearly session. It showed that security and defence issues overall are the number one reason for people in the five Nordic countries to want cooperation...
(EUObserver  http://www.leap2020.net/newsletter/lt.php?id=Mh8GBQpRTwtQXh4DBgQBBw)

New $400m army to fight human traffickers and terrorists faces UN moment of truth

Unprecedented plans to combat human trafficking and terrorism across the Sahel and into Libya will face a major credibility test on Monday when the UN decides whether to back a new proposed five-nation joint security force across the region. The 5,000-strong army costing $400m in the first year is designed to end growing insecurity, a driving force of migration, and combat endemic people-smuggling that has since 2014 seen 30,000 killed in the Sahara and an estimated 10,000 drowned in the central Mediterranean...
(The Guardian http://www.leap2020.net/newsletter/lt.php?id=Mh8GBQpQTwtQXh4DBgQBBw)

Royal purge sends shockwaves through Saudi Arabia's elites

Saudi Arabia's leadership has pulled off its boldest move yet to consolidate power around its young crown prince, Mohammed bin Salman, arresting 11 senior princes, one of the country's richest men and scores of former ministers in what it billed as a corruption purge. The move sidelined at least 20 senior figures, among them outspoken billionaire, Prince al-Waleed bin Talal, sending shockwaves through the ranks of the kingdom's elites, who had long viewed senior royals as immune...

COP23: What's at stake?

Climate agreements are hard-won through laborious negotiations, and this week's UN climate talks will be no different. Organizers want to send a signal to President Trump and other deniers that climate change is real. Usually, the country holding presidency of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) hosts its annual conference...
(Deutsche Welle http://www.leap2020.net/newsletter/lt.php?id=Mh8GBQpSTwtQXh4DBgQBBw)

Three Major Reasons Why China Wants to Play Significant Role in Middle East

China has announced that it will continue to provide humanitarian aid to Syria. The announcement came as the 7th round of peace talks opened in Astana. French geopolitical analyst Pierre Picquart pointed out to Sputnik that this timing suggests that Beijing is asserting itself as one of key players in the Middle East, and explained why...

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