Global systemic crisis, angry nations, G20 - National democracies are preventing the implementation of solutions to the global crisis: they will be removed ... if transnational democracy is not invented
The nations are angry and this is a logical consequence of a crisis without historical precedent, a multi-directional crisis of global dimensions to which the levels of national "democratic" power are structurally unable to respond while governance structures, which are most likely to put solutions into place, i.e. international and transnational structures, have no political legitimacy, knowing plitical legitimacy is acquired in only two ways: by force or democratically... (Read more in the GEAB 106)
The nations are angry and this is a logical consequence of a crisis without historical precedent, a multi-directional crisis of global dimensions to which the levels of national "democratic" power are structurally unable to respond while governance structures, which are most likely to put solutions into place, i.e. international and transnational structures, have no political legitimacy, knowing plitical legitimacy is acquired in only two ways: by force or democratically... (Read more in the GEAB 106)
Balkanization and returning empires in Central and Eastern Europe: the drama of the failure of European integration and of the Euro-Russian crisis
In 2014, our team anticipated the disintegration of the Eastern European flank following the conflict between the EU and Russia. Two years later, the damage has become visible. If Europe and Russia fail to renew any dialogue, the worst is yet to come in this part of Europe, a region where old demons are in full resurrection (Cold War, European wars, balkanization and empires...) and where the failures of the EU enlargement policy are coming to light... (Read our public announcement)
In 2014, our team anticipated the disintegration of the Eastern European flank following the conflict between the EU and Russia. Two years later, the damage has become visible. If Europe and Russia fail to renew any dialogue, the worst is yet to come in this part of Europe, a region where old demons are in full resurrection (Cold War, European wars, balkanization and empires...) and where the failures of the EU enlargement policy are coming to light... (Read our public announcement)
US elections: the detonator of the ultimate phase of the economic and financial American crisis
Despite the poor quality of the US debates, the presidential campaign is allowing a "moment of truth", a freedom of speech related to the fracturing of the society (including of the establishment itself) into two camps. Yet, in the case of the current ultra-polarized country, the usual split between Democrat and Republican supporters has become a widening chasm showing unexpected images of the country's situation... (Read more in the GEAB 106)
Despite the poor quality of the US debates, the presidential campaign is allowing a "moment of truth", a freedom of speech related to the fracturing of the society (including of the establishment itself) into two camps. Yet, in the case of the current ultra-polarized country, the usual split between Democrat and Republican supporters has become a widening chasm showing unexpected images of the country's situation... (Read more in the GEAB 106)
The Conquest of Space and Multipolarity: Shooting Star Wars
In 1967 the United States, Russia, India, Great Britain, France, Germany, Italy (which launched its first satellite in 1964! ), and many other states from Europe and the world signed the Outer Space Treaty . This fundamental act states that outer space belongs to all mankind and that no state can appropriate its resources. Two years later, the first man walked on the Moon and ever since nothing has stopped the expansionism of the conquest of space, nor its multipolarity: the United States, Russia to start with, but also Europe, India and China have successfully launched themselves into the space exploration... (Read more in the GEAB 106)
In 1967 the United States, Russia, India, Great Britain, France, Germany, Italy (which launched its first satellite in 1964! ), and many other states from Europe and the world signed the Outer Space Treaty . This fundamental act states that outer space belongs to all mankind and that no state can appropriate its resources. Two years later, the first man walked on the Moon and ever since nothing has stopped the expansionism of the conquest of space, nor its multipolarity: the United States, Russia to start with, but also Europe, India and China have successfully launched themselves into the space exploration... (Read more in the GEAB 106)
Insurance sector: Questioning of the economic model
Everyone remembers the images picturing floods, hail storms, mudslides, tornadoes and other disasters that have swept Europe, Germany, France, and Belgium recently, but also those of other continents (America, Australia, and Canada, where huge fires are still raging in Alberta). The estimated damage is reported to be in billions of Euros: 1.4 billion estimated in France and several billion in Germany and Canada; Great Britain and Scandinavia have also been affected by similar phenomena lately (almost 2 billion Euros, if we tabulate all of them). Facing such huge claims, how will the insurance companies react... (Read more in the GEAB 106)
Everyone remembers the images picturing floods, hail storms, mudslides, tornadoes and other disasters that have swept Europe, Germany, France, and Belgium recently, but also those of other continents (America, Australia, and Canada, where huge fires are still raging in Alberta). The estimated damage is reported to be in billions of Euros: 1.4 billion estimated in France and several billion in Germany and Canada; Great Britain and Scandinavia have also been affected by similar phenomena lately (almost 2 billion Euros, if we tabulate all of them). Facing such huge claims, how will the insurance companies react... (Read more in the GEAB 106)
Investments, trends and recommendations
US interest rates: Who believes the story? / ECB quantitative easing, interest rates: some time to wait still... / Sterling Pound: Brexit or no Brexit? / Oil: Cool headed... / Gold: Golden times past times? (Read more in the GEAB 106)
US interest rates: Who believes the story? / ECB quantitative easing, interest rates: some time to wait still... / Sterling Pound: Brexit or no Brexit? / Oil: Cool headed... / Gold: Golden times past times? (Read more in the GEAB 106)
A small political anticipation calendar - Some dates to bear in mind for the next six months
June 16-18: J.C. Juncker visits St. Petersburg (First strong sign of willingness to restart the dialogue between Europe and Russia, in line with Juncker's statement of last October: "We cannot let our relationship with Russia be dictated by Washington."... (Read more in the GEAB 106)
June 16-18: J.C. Juncker visits St. Petersburg (First strong sign of willingness to restart the dialogue between Europe and Russia, in line with Juncker's statement of last October: "We cannot let our relationship with Russia be dictated by Washington."... (Read more in the GEAB 106)
Polish President Andrzej Duda has visited Norway to attend the Polish-Norwegian Economic Forum in Oslo. As a result, the political approval for gas supply to Poland from Norway has been made. Also Denmark has offered its support for the construction of the Baltic Pipe (a gas link that would connect Poland and Norwegian gas fields through the Danish infrastructure as part of the route). The state-run Polish gas company PGNiG bought in 2014 shares in four fields on the Norwegian Continental Shelf. The gas supply from Norway as well as the LNG supplies to the Świnoujście terminal are part of Poland's plan to reduce its reliance on gas supplies from Russia. The Baltic Pipe would also secure gas supply to Poland, Ukraine, Slovakia and the Baltic states or even Finland.
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