miércoles, 13 de abril de 2016

2016/04/13 Political Anticipation - LEAP Press review

Anticipate, foresee and then take action ! Don't miss the upcoming GEAB bulletin scheduled for mid-April
In less than three days, the GEAB Edition 104 will address some extremely interesting topics and will provide in-depth examination of the world's current economic and political challenges. Are you asking yourself questions on migration flows, US Elections and American democracy, European construction industry or dangers related to the Russian-Chinese borders but also UN, ECB and Quantitative Easing duration and necessity? We might help you solve this puzzle ! (Take a 1-year subscription to the GEAB)

Global Power Shift
During the mid-2000s, when emerging markets were growing at breakneck speed, the cavernous gap separating industrial and developing economies began to close. This convergence took place against a backdrop of economic liberalization, built on the idea that the financial systems of all nations would dovetail. (Strategy Business)
IMF cuts global growth forecast to 3.2%, warns of stagnation risk
The International Monetary Fund cut its global growth forecast for the fourth time in the past year on Tuesday, citing China’s slowdown, persistently low oil prices and chronic weakness in advanced economies. The Fund, whose spring meetings along with the World Bank will be held in Washington this week, forecast that the global economy would grow at 3.2 per cent in 2016 compared to its previous forecast of 3.4 per cent in January... (Economic Times)

International Monetary System: returning to a fixed exchange rate regime
The petrodollar system has been in agony for several years now. We wrote in our GEAB No. 100 that our team’s belief was that we were about to live through the final collapse of this system in 2016. Since it is the pillar of the current international monetary order, its fall will allow (even force) the establishment of a new international monetary system, the chaotic “birth” of which we are able to anticipate for 2017. After the foreseeable upheavals of 2016, this system will aim to recreate the conditions for a stabilization of the global economy, notably through a multi-monetary basis... (GEAB By LEAP)

3rd EuroBRICS Webinar: Political Anticipation applied to multipolar world challenges
Political Anticipation serving decision-making : Strategies and projects for a significant role of the Euro-BRICS Youth Platform in addressing multipolar world challenges. LEAP is proud to announce that its next EuroBRICS Webinar on Political Anticipation will be held on Monday, 18.04.2016... (LEAP / EuroBRICS)
Best IPO Refuge From `Brexit' Panic Is in Nordics, Nasdaq Says
The man in charge of European listings at Nasdaq Inc. says the Nordic region is set to provide one of the most stable backdrops for initial public offerings amid market tensions spurred by the U.K.’s decision to hold a June referendum on European Union membership... (Bloomberg)
TTIP: EU exporters worry about US harmonisation issues
The EU is negotiating a trade and investment deal with the US that is supposed to harmonise standards to avoid unnecessary double testing, but in the US standards and norms are often set locally and not on a federal level... (EUObserver)
Panama Papers show tax avoidance like a 'cancer'
European leaders are scrambling to tighten rules on tax evasion this week as the Panama Papers data dump continues to cause political shockwaves around the world. David Cameron, the U.K.'s prime minister, is expected to announce measures to combat tax avoidance on Monday and meanwhile Germany and France's finance ministers have vowed to tighten rules against tax havens... (CNBC)

US elections 2016: ‘The system is rigged, the government coin-operated’
A few years ago, CBS News conducted a poll about Americans’ perception of government. The headline of the resulting story: Alienated nation: Americans complain of government disconnect. The first sentence reads: “Americans see their leaders in Washington as overpaid agents of wealthy individuals and corporations who are largely disconnected from the concerns of average Americans... (The Guardian)

India, China set eyes on joint satellite constellation for BRICS
Space really knows no national boundaries, yet some of the most bitter earthly battles are fought on space issues. Amid this so-called star wars, some new green shoots of international collaboration can be seen to be emerging. Most recently, possibly the short sightedness of Pakistan led it to opt out of the proposed SAARC Satellite, a friendly gift from India. From its ashes, it seems a new proposal to have satellite constellation on behalf of the BRICS nations... (Economic Times)

Croatia veto on Serbia’s EU talks causes surprise
Last week was a bad week for Serbia’s bid to join the EU. At a working group meeting in the EU Council on Thursday (7 April ), the Croatian delegate refused to endorse the European Commission’s opinion that Serbia is ready to open talks on Chapter 23 of the accession book, which deals with judiciary and human rights. According to the EU’s “fundamentals first” enlargement strategy, this is one of the “superchapters” that is crucial to the whole process. Serbia had hoped it would be opened by June, paving the way for other chapters... (EUObserver)

Why China’s latest power play may roil Russia
Western media and political institutions tend to describe China and Russia as something of an anti-Western bloc. More autocratic than Western governments — and more skeptical of open institutions and a free press — China and Russia often side with each other in international disputes against European and American interests... (Reuters)
Oil Producers Risk Severe Price Slump If Freeze Deal Fails
The early success of an oil-supply accord between OPEC and Russia in reviving crude prices is magnifying the potential risks should producers meeting this weekend fail to complete their deal. Brent crude futures, which sank to a 12-year low in January, have climbed about 30 percent since Saudi Arabia, Russia, Qatar and Venezuela reached a preliminary agreement to freeze output on Feb. 16... (Bloomberg)
Turkey and Europe pay lip service to integration
Many Turks would still like to see their country join the EU, but European intransigence and resurgent nationalism in Turkey have pushed accession talks to near irrelevance. Tom Stevenson reports from Istanbul... (Deutsche Welle)

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