jueves, 15 de septiembre de 2016

2016/09/08 Political Anticipation - A Press Review by LEAP

The GEAB 107 is coming up soon ! Don't miss our fresh analyses
A few more days are separating us from the next GEAB bulletin! The LEAP's editors are now preparing for their exclusive readers a spectacular edition on the world's current geopolitical challenges and financial trends. Make sure your access codes are active, a message announcing the new edition and a summary will be reaching you soon... (Registration page)

Balkanization and returning empires in Central and Eastern Europe: the drama of the failure of European integration and of the Euro-Russian crisis
In 2014, LEAP anticipated the disintegration of the Eastern European flank following the conflict between the EU and Russia. Two years later, the damage has become visible. If Europe and Russia fail to renew any dialogue, the worst is yet to come in this part of Europe, a region where old demons are in full resurrection (Cold War, European wars, balkanization and empires…) and where the failures of the EU enlargement policy are coming to light... (GEAB No 106 / back to the edition of June)

Deflation and real economy in the United States: the black hole
The systemic crisis is spreading much faster in the real economy than in 2008-2009. This low dormancy is a sign that the economic protection dikes are severely lowered, the synergies are broken and the common strategies of global resilience have vanished. Within this statistical fog, not even fully lifted yet, our team needs once more to assess the health of the real economy, particularly in the United States. The irretrievable loss of confidence in the US dollar which we have constantly documented month after month for ten years now, and the currency war, soon in full swing with a risk of cascading devaluations, finally show the aberration to measure the economy with this one standard, the dollar... (GEAB No 102 / a teaser)

Theresa May warns that there are ‘difficult times ahead’ as Britain leaves the EU
There will be “difficult times” ahead as Britain moves to leave the European Union, the Prime Minister has said. In her first major broadcast interview since taking office Theresa May warned that the Brexit process would not be be “plain sailing” – but that she is nevertheless optimistic about the future. The intervention comes as Ms May makes her first trip to a major international summit as PM. On Saturday she flew to Beijing to meet G20 leaders, who she will try to reassure regarding Britain’s departure from the trading bloc... (The Independent)

Russia, Britain agree to mend ties
Russian President Vladimir Putin and British Prime Minister Theresa May met here Sunday and expressed hopes to repair bilateral relations through dialogue. During the meeting, their first ever, Putin congratulated May on becoming the British prime minister, and said he hopes the two countries can take bilateral relations to a higher level. “We certainly have much to do — both in the political and economic spheres,” he added... (China Daily)

US and Russia fail to reach Syria ceasefire deal
The United States and Russia came up short on Sunday in attempts to finalise a ceasefire deal in Syria, as US President Barack Obama said “grave differences” remained and fighting on the ground continued. Russia and the US have been striving for weeks to secure a ceasefire between Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s government and moderate rebels that would expand humanitarian access to hundreds of thousands of civilians caught in the crossfire... (AlJazeera)

The Euroland Agora is happening! (Athens, October 7-10)
In the middle of the post-Brexit overhaul of the EU, @LEAP in partnership wih @AEGEE put something highly innovating on the table : initiating a process of democratisation of the trans-European decision-making system on the basis of the Eurozone, where member-States share the highest degree of integration and common interests, launching a platform of representation of Euroland citizen's interests, a Euroland Agora. Innovation is a requirement against the ongoing dramatic aggravation of Europe's political life. It's in Athens and it's next month. Make a smart move now: apply or contact us @ contact@eurolandagora.eu for more! (LEAP)

Brexiteers still hunting for a strategy
Brexit minister David Davis made his triumphant return to Parliament on Monday (5 September), almost 20 years after his previous government job as, ironically enough, John Major’s minister for Europe. Back then, Davis was the bruiser who had helped force the Maastricht treaty through the UK parliament. Now he’s the man charged with leaving the club... (EUObserver)

EU Budget Woes or How Much Brexit Will End Up Costing Europe
There is no avoiding the elephant in the room when it comes to the post-Brexit debate around how the EU will fund its existence over the coming years. As proposals are discussed this week by the EU parliamentary budget committees to come up with recommendations for MEPs, will there be room for negotiation for EU member states?... (Sputniknews)

Why cash isn't king any more
The world is awash in paper currency, with major central banks pumping out hundreds of billions of dollars’ worth each year, mainly in very large denomination notes such as the $100 bill. The $100 bill accounts for almost 80% of the US’s stunning $4,200 (£3,152) per capita cash supply... (The Guardian)

ECB keeps interest rates unchanged for another month
The European Central Bank has kept its main interest rate on hold at zero for another month. The eurozone central bank's 25-member governing council left its benchmark borrowing rate at zero. The rate on deposits from commercial banks was also unchanged at minus 0.4%. The ECB decided against extending the duration of its two-year bond-buying stimulus scheme under which it has been making purchases of €80bn a month... (BBC)

Russia, Saudi Arabia to set up working group to monitor oil market
On Monday, Russia and Saudi Arabia’s energy ministers both signed a Memorandum of Understanding on the sidelines of the G20 summit, noting keenness from both sides to see the global oil market stabilize. “Both Russia and Saudi Arabia, as the two largest oil producers in the world, have the heaviest burdens to see the oil markets stabilize,” Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said... (Alarabyia)

South China Sea row tops ASEAN summit agenda
Tepid criticism in draft statement of meetings in Vientiane seen as reflection of China's economic and military clout. Asian leaders have played down tensions over the South China Sea in a carefully worded summit statement In Vientiane, Laos. However, even before it was issued China voiced frustration on Thursday with countries outside the region "interfering" in tussles over the strategic waterway... (AlJazeera)

Obama and Duterte 'exchange pleasantries' after 'son of a whore' insult
Barack Obama has met his Philippine counterpart Rodrigo Duterte briefly and exchanged pleasantries, officials said, after a meeting between the two leaders was cancelled due to the latter’s crude comments. The two leaders were supposed to meet one-on-one on Tuesday on the sidelines of the Association of South-East Asian Nations (Asean) summit in Vientiane, Laos... (The Guardian)

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