lunes, 15 de septiembre de 2014

20014/09/12 Revue de Presse Euro-BRICS Press Reviews

“New Cold War poses dilemmas for India”
Neelam Deo, Director, Gateway House, talks about the significance of the position taken by NATO member countries at the recent summit in Wales. She says the increasingly acrimonious standoff between the West and Russia over Ukraine, and the stance on the Islamic State has implications for India.
Euro-BRICS

Russia-Europe Ties Must Get Back on Track
Russia's relations with Europe have been badly strained over the Ukraine crisis. The two sides have fundamentally different perceptions of the situation, are suspicious of the other side's intentions, and have already gone through a series of sanctions against each other's economies.
The Moscow Times

Russia Deputy PM: 'Sanctions not good from any side'
Economic sanctions against Russia imposed by the E.U. and the U.S. are not good for the global economy, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Arkady Dvorkovich told CNBC on Wednesday. "Sanctions are not good from any side. Sanctions are not good for [the] U.S. economy... not good for Europe…. and when Europe and the U.S. establish sanctions, they face difficulties as Russia faces difficulties and nobody wants sanctions, that's clear,".
CNBC

Africa welcomes support from China in industrialization
Africa welcomes modern win-win cooperation with Chinese enterprises that are shifting from simply extracting resources in the continent to supporting its industrialization, South Africa's top diplomat has said.
ECNS

Xi to meet Modi amid shift in Sino-Indian ties
The common wisdom has been that China and India have nothing in common – except size. But that is changing. The shift is symbolised by next week’s meeting between Chinese President Xi Jinping, eager to burnish his credentials as a leader of nonaligned nations, and India’s new prime minister, Narendra Modi, who portrays himself as a decisive economic reformer.
FT

Ukraine: Xi Jinping pour une solution politique
Le président chinois Xi Jinping a de nouveau souhaité le règlement politique de la crise en Ukraine grâce à un dialogue entre toutes les parties, lors d'un entretien avec son homologue russe Vladimir Poutine. "La Chine est favorable à une résolution de la crise ukrainienne par des moyens politiques et exhorte toutes les parties en Ukraine à ouvrir un véritable dialogue dès que possible", a déclaré le ministère chinois des Affaires étrangères jeudi dans un communiqué, citant le chef de l'Etat.
Le Figaro

The rise of Marina Silva
Brazilian president Dilma Rouseff's bid for re-election has been ambushed in just two weeks by activist Marina Silva who is now predicted to win the October elections. If elected, Marina is likely to continue with the pro-poor policies of the current government, and she has already shown a keen interest in foreign policy. PM Modi will find Marina more proactive and forthcoming than Rouseff
Gatewayhouse

The EU needs a completely new direction
The new Commission needs to start a drastic reform programme to save the EU. Only then can Europe survive in a world of tectonic shifts, warns Joop Hazenberg.
Euractiv

Meunier: “En écoutant plus la Russie on éviterait des morts”
Le député de l’Est lyonnais effectue un déplacement de plusieurs jours à Moscou, à la rencontre de représentants politiques et économiques du pays. Il défend la Russie comme un pays ami qui “mériterait d’être mieux entendu”.
Lyon Capitale

Guest post: gas war is next phase of Russia-Ukraine conflict
The chances of a lasting ceasefire in the conflict in eastern Ukraine are looking better. But the cessation of military hostilities will only mark the outbreak of a new fight: the gas war between Russia and Ukraine is about to restart and will probably come to a head in January, when Ukraine risks running out of gas.
FT blog

China, Russia to jointly face external challenges: Xi
Chinese President Xi Jinping and his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Putin, met in Dushanbe, capital of Tajikistan, on Thursday ahead of the 14th summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO). The two allies discussed “pressing issues of bilateral cooperation, particularly in energy, aircraft engineering and infrastructure”, said a Kremlin statement.
The BRICS Post

Les BRICS et l’Afrique : l’alliance se confirme ?
Les échanges entre l’Afrique et les BRICS sont projetés à 500 milliards de dollars en 2015. Cette annonce, relayée par l’Agence Ecofin (agence africaine d’informations basée à Genève, en Suisse), a été faite par le Haut-commissaire de l’Inde au Cameroun, A.R. Ghanashyam.
La Voix de la Russie

Partner info - Foundation for Education and training in Political Anticipation: back to school!
After a nice (and sunny?) summer, it is now time to get back in the business! FEFAP will start the end of 2014 with a new edition of its course (October 11th-December 13th). FEFAP teaches the Political Anticipation created by LEAP through a training process based on different case studies.
FEFAP
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This special Press Review proposes a selection of articles from the French and English-speaking international online media relating to Euro-BRICS relations. It is delivered freely by LEAP on a weekly basis to recipients worldwide.

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2014/09/12 LEAP/E2020 Press Review on the Global Systemic Crisis. Libertad, Igualdad, Pluralidad.

GEAB Excerpt - Central bank's independence is a myth
In 2008 this ideal of an independent Central Bank turned out to be untenable. The Fed and ECB were in fact forced to intervene in the markets far beyond their mandate and there were few leading policy makers who maintained a market stance and advocated non-interference by Central Banks during the 2008 financial crisis and the 2011-2012 Euro crisis. The Fed in particular, but also the ECB, intervened with unprecedented monetary policies, some with fancy names, to “stabilize” the markets. Thus, one would have expected economists and policy makers to revise their thinking on the role of Central Banks, but they managed to keep the principle of independence alive...

U.S. threatened hefty fines to make Yahoo hand over user data
The documents shed new light on how the government dealt with U.S. Internet companies that were reluctant to comply with orders from the secretive U.S. Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court, which rules on government requests to conduct surveillance for national security issues...

Ukraine President: 70 Percent Of Russian Troops In Ukrainian Territory Have Withdrawn
Ukraine’s president said Wednesday that 70 percent of Russian troops on Ukrainian territory had been withdrawn since the cease-fire began Friday, as he vowed to introduce a bill to parliament offering more autonomy to rebellious regions in the pro-Russia east; both signs that the fragile truce could be morphing into a durable chance at peace...

Russia's Ruble Reaches New Historic Low as EU Follows Through on Sanctions
The Russian ruble reached a new historic low against the dollar on Thursday, shortly after British Prime Minister David Cameron said the European Union would introduce new sanctions against Russia on Friday...

New Russian sanctions may hit Rotterdam port oil imports
New European sanctions against Russia come into effect today but the Dutch economy will also feel the impact, particularly the oil industry, broadcaster Nos says on Friday...

43 Israel reservists refuse to serve, protest 'abuses'
Forty-three reservists from Israel's elite army intelligence unit have announced their refusal to serve, accusing the military of "abuses" against Palestinians...

Prison suicides rise by 64% in a year
Call for overhaul of prevention procedures in English and Welsh jails after 'troubling' surge in self-inflicted deaths...
The Guardian

Japon : L'ampleur de la chute du yen commence à inquiéter
La baisse du yen n'a pas que des effets positifs. Les importations souffrent, les prix du pétrole grimpent. Le gouvernement souhaite que la devise se stabilise...
Les Echos

U.S. Gets Unexpected Bounty From Slow Growth Abroad
The world’s pain is America’s gain. Weak economic growth in Europe and the rest of the world is leading to lower energy prices and interest rates in the U.S...

Brent oil falls below $100 to 17-month low as supply weighs
Brent crude oil prices fell to a 17-month low below $100 per barrel in volatile trade on Tuesday, a fourth straight daily decline as ample supplies weighed, while U.S. crude rose on the expectation of dwindling fuel stockpiles...

Anti-ISIL Coalition Needs Iran’s Help: Danish FM
Denmark’s Foreign Minister Martin Lidegaard underlined the importance of Iran’s help for confronting the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) terrorist group...

The great retail debate to be fired up by sales report
Retail employment fell in August for the first time in six months. Consumption slipped in July for the first time in six months...

Meunier: “En écoutant plus la Russie on éviterait des morts”
C’est pourtant à Moscou que le député de l’Est lyonnais Philippe Meunier se trouve pour un voyage de quelques jours en compagnie d’une quinzaine d’autres parlementaires, sous l’égide de de l’association Dialogue franco-russe, présidée par le député UMP Thierry Mariani...

Britain faces storm as giant global investors awaken to break-up dangers
N Powerful investors across the world have woken up to the possibility that Scotland may vote to break up the United Kingdom, with some already preparing defensive action that risks a potentially dangerous flight from sterling and Britain’s bond market...
The Telegraph

France - Les commandes d'armement à l'exportation ont grimpé de 43% en 2013 (ministère)
Les commandes nouvelles d'armements à l'exportation ont grimpé de 43% en 2013 et se sont élevées à 6,87 milliards d'euros, selon une étude publiée à l'occasion de l'Université d'été de la Défense, qui se tient à Bordeaux...

Partner info - Foundation for Education and training in Political Anticipation: back to school!
After a nice (and sunny?) summer, it is now time to get back in the business! FEFAP will start the end of 2014 with a new edition of its course (October 11th-December 13th). FEFAP teaches the Political Anticipation created by LEAP through a training process based on different case studies. FEFAP offers now different options: 1/ Basic Course: for those who want to have a first approach of the political anticipation method, you can buy one course of 1h30! ; 2/ Complete course: you can choose to follow 1, 5 or 10 sessions! Learn everything about the method developed by LEAP and become an expert in Political Anticipation. Have a look at the complete program ! ; 3/ Advanced course: exclusively reserved to former FEFAP students, and focused on one topic. “Political Anticipation: CATCH THE FUTURE”
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This special Press Review reviews articles from the French and Engligh-speaking international online media relating to the unfolding global crisis.
It is delivered freely on a weekly basis to 60,000 recipients worldwide.

Subscription / Contact: centre@europe2020.org

jueves, 11 de septiembre de 2014

Regeneración Democrática - #AdC

Foto

Pedro Sánchez - Secretario General del PSOE-. mañana viernes 12 de septiembre a las 9 horas, en "las mañanas de rne".

El Gobierno rectifica y permitirá la jubilación anticipada a más de 30.000 despedidos con 61 años

legaltoday.com  4 de Septiembre de 2014
De acuerdo a la Ley actual, hasta 35.000 personas que perdieron su trabajo antes del 1 de abril de 2013, sin formar parte de un despido colectivo y que mantienen convenios individuales con la Seguridad Social, no podrán jubilarse anticipadamente con 61 años, sino con 63 años: el Gobierno y los sindicatos acordaron ayer modificar dicho criterio en relación con el acceso a la jubilación anticipada, por lo que aquéllos que perdieron su trabajo antes del 1 de abril de 2013 sin ser por un ERE y manteniendo convenios individuales con la Seguridad Social podrán jubilarse anticipadamente (con 61 años) en las condiciones anteriores a la última reforma de las pensiones.
EP

Según ha informado el Secretario de Estado de Seguridad Social, Tomás Burgos, la Seguridad Social actuará de oficio y reconsiderará la posición de todas las personas a las que se les denegó o bien la pensión o una cuantía de la misma de acuerdo al antiguo criterio, unas 1.500.
Asimismo, ha asegurado que se adoptarán las decisiones para resolver con la mayor urgencia todas las solicitudes que están pendientes de resolución. Además, ha indicado que las estimaciones de la Seguridad Social indicaban que podría haber en torno a 30.000 afectados en cuatro años y ha asegurado que con esta decisión "no se produce un incremento de gastos o de costes"."Estamos ante la posibilidad de que unos ciudadanos puedan acceder a una jubilación", aseguró.
De este modo, a la salida de una reunión con los secretarios de Protección Social de CCOO y de Política Social de UGT, Carlos Bravo y Carmen López, Burgos ha señalado que tanto el criterio anteriormente adoptado como el que se va a tomar ahora "se acomodan a la legislación vigente", pero que debe primar aquél que permita resolver "de forma precisa y definitiva cualquier contencioso que pueda surgir".
"Creemos que se da respuesta a las incertidumbres que se podían haber generado en relación con este mecanismo", ha asegurado Burgos. Asimismo, ha informado de que "en las próximas horas" se procederá ala redacción definitiva de la instrucción para que "a continuación ésta sea enviada a todas las direcciones provinciales de la Seguridad Social".
Burgos ha destacado que los criterios interpretativos "no son pétreos" y que "lo lógico es modificar el criterio si se atiene mejor al espíritu de la norma". "Con esto se zanja definitivamente esta cuestión y se atiende a las expectativas y a los derechos que inicialmente habían esgrimido las personas que se habían visto afectadas", aseveró.
Por su parte, Bravo ha destacado que "va a ser una solución completa, para el conjunto del colectivo", y que se va proceder al "recálculo de aquellas personas que han podido recibir una pensión inferior".
Se formalizará antes de 48 horas
Asimismo, ha informado de que el acuerdo es "verbal", pero que el Gobierno se ha comprometido a completarlo "en un plazo inmediato, de entre 24 y 48 horas". El representante de la central sindical no ha querido dar un número concreto de personas que podrían haberse visto afectadas en los próximos años, pero ha asegurado que son "muchos miles de personas".
Por otro lado, ha mostrado la "satisfacción" de los sindicatos por la decisión, aunque ha querido recalcar que "no es el reconocimiento de un nuevo derecho", sino evitar "que se produjera un perjuicio para muchas personas en paro".
Por su parte, la representante de UGT ha querido destacar la "insistencia" de los sindicatos desde que se produjo el conflicto y también ha mostrado su "satisfacción", aunque ha asegurado que la instrucción adoptada anteriormente por el Ministerio de Empleo y Seguridad Social "carecía de legalidad".
Además, ha resaltado que se trata de un simple "cambio de interpretación", por lo que "no hay que hacer ninguna modificación en la norma". Paralelamente, ha recalcado la necesidad de que la instrucción esté "lo antes posible".
Finalmente, ha indicado que hasta que no reciban la nueva instrucción los sindicatos continuarán con la campaña de denuncia, y una vez que la tengan y sea aplicada se han comprometido "a retirar las reclamaciones previas" que habían presentado.

La justicia europea dictamina que el impuesto de sucesiones en España vulnera las normas de la UE

legaltoday.com  4 de Septiembre de 2014
  • Incluye sentencia
El Tribunal de Justicia de la Unión Europea ha dictaminado este miércoles que el impuesto sobre sucesiones y donaciones en España vulnera la legislación comunitaria al obligar a los no residentes a pagar más que a los residentes, ya que éstos son los únicos que pueden beneficiarse de las ventajas fiscales concedidas por las comunidades autónomas.
EP

El fallo da la razón a la Comisión Europea, que en 2011 presentó una denuncia ante el TJUE por considerar que esta discriminación en el impuesto español constituye una restricción a la libertad de circulación de capitales.
En España, el impuesto sobre sucesiones y donaciones es un gravamen estatal cuya gestión y rendimiento han sido cedidos a las comunidades autónomas. No obstante, la normativa estatal se aplica en los casos en los que no hay punto de conexión personal o real con una comunidad autónoma. Todas las comunidades autónomas aplican ventajas que reducen la carga fiscal a los contribuyentes. Sin embargo, a los no residentes se les aplica la normativa estatal, más onerosa.
En su sentencia de este miércoles, el Tribunal de Justicia afirma en primer lugar que esta normativa no afecta a la libre circulación de personas, como sostenía la Comisión, pero sí a la de capitales.
El fallo destaca que la sucesión o la donación en la que intervenga un heredero o un donatario o un fallecido o donante que no reside en el territorio español, o también una donación o una sucesión que tenga por objeto un bien inmueble situado fuera de territorio español, "no podrá beneficiarse de las reducciones fiscales que sólo se aplican en caso de conexión exclusiva con el territorio de las comunidades autónomas, debiendo soportar una mayor carga fiscal que las sucesiones o donaciones en las que sólo intervienen residentes o que sólo tienen por objeto bienes inmuebles situados en España".
"Al no poder gozar de los citados beneficios fiscales, el valor de esa sucesión o esa donación se reducirá. Según la jurisprudencia del Tribunal de Justicia, dicha reducción constituye una restricción de la libre circulación de capitales", resalta la sentencia. Por ello, el TJUE declara que "la legislación española constituye una restricción de la libre circulación de capitales, prohibida en principio" por el Tratado.
De acuerdo con el fallo, esta restricción no está justificada porque "no existe ninguna diferencia entre la situación objetiva de un residente y la de un no residente que pueda sustentar una diferencia de trato, puesto que la legislación española los considera como sujetos pasivos a efectos de la percepción del impuesto de sucesiones y donaciones sobre los bienes inmuebles situados en España, al margen de dónde residan".
En este sentido, el Tribunal no acepta los argumentos de España relativos a la persecución del objetivo legítimo de garantizar la eficacia de los controles fiscales y la lucha contra la elusión fiscal dentro del Espacio Económico Europeo, porque "no se ha demostrado cómo el hecho de que no haya un acuerdo de asistencia mutua en ese sentido podría justificar la legislación atacada por la Comisión".

2014/09/09 Revue de Presse Euro-BRICS Press Reviews

The Euro-Russia row as a result of an overlap between two economic unions : lessons for a multipolar world in the wake
This attitude on the part of Europe reveals a very strong feature of this crisis : it is a territorial row between two neighbours. On the one hand, there is the European Union, a free-trade area engaged in a questionable process of never-ending extension[4]. On the other hand, there is Russia’s Eurasian Economic Union project, all of a sudden competing with the latter.

The world is marching back from globalisation
The US does not see a vital national interest in upholding an order that shifts power to rivals. There is a mood abroad that says history will record that sanctions against Russia marked the start of an epochal retreat from globalisation.

L'Europe devrait renoncer à la détérioration des relations avec la Russie (Parlement européen)
L'Europe devrait renoncer à la détérioration des relations avec la Russie, il ne faut pas rompre le fil des négociations avec la Russie dans une situation de crise, estime le chef du Parlement européen, Martin Schulz.

Huge scope for expansion in trade ties between India, South Africa
South Africa today said there was need for reforms in IMF and the World Bank so that developing countries get adequate funding even as he hailed the decision for the setting up of the BRICS bank.

A warning cry from the European Central Bank
IT WAS a coincidence that the European Central Bank held its regular policy-making meeting at the same time that leaders of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization were assembling in Wales. There is a connection between the two events, however: An economically weak Europe cannot be a diplomatically and militarily strong Europe.

La guerre d'Ukraine et l'esprit des peuples
Il est encore difficile aujourd'hui d'évoquer l’absence de liberté des grands médias occidentaux sans être taxé d'extravagance, de se voir convaincre d'être le neveu de Poutine.

Give the BRICS more power: we need them on our side
The launch of the BRICS Development Bank suggests that these countries have no intention of disappearing into economic and policy oblivion. There is a lot for business to catch up on as the summer holidays end and corporate decision-makers return to their desks this week.

Making 'Chindia' a reality
Nearly a decade ago, in late 2006, the then President of China, President Hu Jintao met with India’s Prime Minister Manmohan Singh in New Delhi with a promise to join forces through close economic collaboration and arrive at a mutually acceptable resolution to long standing geopolitical disputes.
China Economic Review

En finir avec la crise ukrainienne et renouer avec la Russie
L'Europe a besoin de la Russie. Laisser cette dernière se lier davantage à la Chine qu'à sa grande voisine occidentale serait une erreur stratégique majeure.
Les Echos

China-Brazil trade must adjust to countries' modernization
China and Brazil face the task of refocusing their trade with each other onto more sophisticated products and investment as the two major emerging economies modernize their industrial structure and their demand for natural resources slows.

Dilemmas and Obstacles: Multilateral Energy Cooperation Among BRICS Countries
Multilateral energy cooperation among BRICS countries remains largely at the stage of initiatives with few substantial actions that have been taken so far. Three main reasons can account for it.
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This special Press Review proposes a selection of articles from the French and English-speaking international online media relating to Euro-BRICS relations. It is delivered freely by LEAP on a weekly basis to recipients worldwide.

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miércoles, 10 de septiembre de 2014

2014/09/09 LEAP/E2020 Press Review on the Global Systemic Crisis

GEAB excerpt - Big banks: "Sufficiently big to fine" (recommendation)
In light of the preceding analysis big banks are now vulnerable to a political war between large regional blocs (in particular), or a convenient way for governments to extract money without hiking tax rates. Even though a major problem with a TBTF bank would have a severe impact on the whole banking industry, small and medium -sized banks are less dependent on political power and financial markets and therefore less vulnerable. So, during the current period we recommend placing your money in those small and medium-sized banks, rather than in TBTF banks, which have, de facto, become “sufficiently big to fine”...

Fed's Kocherlakota: US interest rates are not low enough
U.S. interest rates, which the Federal Reserve have kept near zero since December 2008, are too high, a top Federal Reserve official said on Thursday, citing subdued inflation and "unacceptably high" unemployment as evidence...

A warning cry from the European Central Bank
Aggressive as it was, compared with past ECB actions, Mr. Draghi’s new policy remains a far cry from the unconventional quantitative easing that the Federal Reserve and Bank of England employed to rekindle growth...

Central Bank Warns Government Over 'Provocations'
Russia's Central Bank warned the government Friday not to back the regulator into a corner from where it would be forced to raise rates and harm growth prospects in an effort to tackle inflation...

À Newport, c’étaient l’Irak et la Syrie, mais surtout l’Ukraine
Petro Porochenko a assuré qu'un cessez-le-feu pourrait être signé aujourd'hui à Minsk ; la Russie qualifie l'Alliance de « fille hystérique de la guerre froide »...

The Euro-Russia row as a result of an overlap between two economic unions : lessons for a multipolar world in the wake
This attitude on the part of Europe reveals a very strong feature of this crisis : it is a territorial row between two neighbours. On the one hand, there is the European Union, a free-trade area engaged in a questionable process of never-ending extension[4]. On the other hand, there is Russia’s Eurasian Economic Union project, all of a sudden competing with the latter.

China’s property conundrum
The various steps that China is taking to stem house price rises seems to be working, but can the government manage an orderly slowdown in the property sector?...

Australia: Economy enters danger zone
The federal government’s former top resources forecaster says the economy faces a painful downturn in 2015 as a property crisis in China accelerates the biggest hit to Australia’s export income in more than two decades...

Crisis looms as only half of Brits have a pension
Almost half of British people don’t have any kind of pension, alarming research published by the Chartered Institute of Payroll Professionals has revealed...

Blockade Calais, mayor urges townsfolk as anger rises at migrant crisis
At a tense press conference at the town hall on Thursday the mayor of Calais, Natacha Bouchart, threatened to call on the people of the town to become a human barricade, and block the port until further action was taken by the British government...

L'argent gratuit inonde les marchés et fait chuter les coûts d'emprunt
La France et l'Allemagne empruntent à des taux négatifs sur les marchés obligataires. Rarement l'argent aura été d'un accès aussi facile pour les Etats, mais aussi pour certaines entreprises...
Les Echos

Canada, Germany derail NATO bid to raise military spending
A NATO plan to get its members to agree to significantly boost their military spending has been derailed by Canada and Germany before it could be even presented to alliance leaders on Thursday when they meet in Wales...
Leader Post

Abe reshuffles Cabinet, LDP lineup with political stability, China ties in mind
Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s reshuffled Cabinet and new ruling party lineup reflect a desire to stabilize his political base, repair relations at home and abroad, and prepare for another increase in the sales tax...
Asahi Shimbun

Finland most vulnerable to Russian gas cut-off
Finland would experience gas shortages even if Russia cut off exports just for one month, while other EU countries would last between three to nine months without Russian gas, according to a German study...
EUObserver

An important moment for India - Japan
Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s forthcoming visit to Japan is of considerable significance at a time when the bilateral relationship looks ready to take off. The rise of China, a growing Indian market for Japanese technology and a possible landmark nuclear deal have raised expectations of the outcome of this visit...
Gateway House

Pretoria se voit en médiateur dans le conflit israélo-palestinien
L’Afrique du Sud se félicite du cessez-le-feu signé cette semaine entre Israël et le Hamas. Le mois dernier, Pretoria a envoyé deux émissaires au Moyen-Orient pour tenter de faciliter le dialogue entre les deux parties. Depuis le début de l’offensive israélienne à Gaza, Pretoria est sous la pression de son opinion publique pour couper tout lien avec Tel Aviv...
RFI
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This special Press Review reviews articles from the French and Engligh-speaking international online media relating to the unfolding global crisis.
It is delivered freely on a weekly basis to 60,000 recipients worldwide.

Subscription / Contact: centre@europe2020.org